Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 9 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 9 maggio?
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F o inferiore <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$39,433 Vol.
$39,433 Vol.
9 mag 2026
43°F o inferiore
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Sì
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F o superiore
No
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F o inferiore <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$39,433 Vol.
$39,433 Vol.
9 mag 2026
43°F o inferiore
$10,238 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$6,726 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,759 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$2,081 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$2,258 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$3,026 Vol.
Sì
54-55°F
$3,761 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,689 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,039 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,619 Vol.
No
62°F o superiore
$3,236 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$39,433Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$39,433Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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