Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 18 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 18 giugno?
17°C 100.0%
13°C o inferiore <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$24,737 Vol.
$24,737 Vol.
18 giu 2026
13°C o inferiore
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Sì
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C o superiore
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C o inferiore <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$24,737 Vol.
$24,737 Vol.
18 giu 2026
13°C o inferiore
$338 Vol.
No
14°C
$655 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,030 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,207 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,947 Vol.
Sì
18°C
$1,687 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,787 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,703 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,877 Vol.
No
22°C
$525 Vol.
No
23°C o superiore
$980 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$24,737Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,737Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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