Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco low near 57–58°F on August 24, aligning with long-term August averages and typical marine-layer influence under moderate onshore flow. This keeps extreme outcomes less likely, though traders weigh slight forecast spreads from variations in fog timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the overnight minimum by a few degrees. Official observations from KSFO will resolve the market, with any late-model runs or unexpected clearing offering the main near-term catalysts for odds movement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di San Francisco il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di San Francisco il 24 agosto?
49°F o meno 73%
68°F o superiore 73%
58-59°F 37%
64-65°F 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
49°F o meno
73%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
18%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
36%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
1%
68°F o superiore
73%
49°F o meno 73%
68°F o superiore 73%
58-59°F 37%
64-65°F 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
49°F o meno
$5 Vol.
73%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
31%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
11%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
18%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
22%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
36%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
19%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
11%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
34%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
1%
68°F o superiore
$5 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco low near 57–58°F on August 24, aligning with long-term August averages and typical marine-layer influence under moderate onshore flow. This keeps extreme outcomes less likely, though traders weigh slight forecast spreads from variations in fog timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the overnight minimum by a few degrees. Official observations from KSFO will resolve the market, with any late-model runs or unexpected clearing offering the main near-term catalysts for odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$30Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco low near 57–58°F on August 24, aligning with long-term August averages and typical marine-layer influence under moderate onshore flow. This keeps extreme outcomes less likely, though traders weigh slight forecast spreads from variations in fog timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the overnight minimum by a few degrees. Official observations from KSFO will resolve the market, with any late-model runs or unexpected clearing offering the main near-term catalysts for odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco low near 57–58°F on August 24, aligning with long-term August averages and typical marine-layer influence under moderate onshore flow. This keeps extreme outcomes less likely, though traders weigh slight forecast spreads from variations in fog timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the overnight minimum by a few degrees. Official observations from KSFO will resolve the market, with any late-model runs or unexpected clearing offering the main near-term catalysts for odds movement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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