**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.** Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined. With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 18 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 18 giugno?
24°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$35,998 Vol.
$35,998 Vol.
18 giu 2026
19°C o inferiore
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Sì
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C o superiore
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$35,998 Vol.
$35,998 Vol.
18 giu 2026
19°C o inferiore
$1,643 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,171 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,519 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,568 Vol.
No
23°C
$14,005 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,590 Vol.
Sì
25°C
$2,271 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,065 Vol.
No
27°C
$398 Vol.
No
28°C
$403 Vol.
No
29°C o superiore
$363 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.**
Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined.
With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$35,998Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.**
Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined.
With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,998Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.** Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined. With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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