Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Shanghai on June 22, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Persistent plum rain (meiyu) conditions associated with the East Asian monsoon maintain extensive cloud cover, which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates overnight lows relative to clearer-sky baselines. Historical June climatology shows average minima of 20–22°C, with current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather aligning closely with this range amid expected rain showers and overcast skies. Traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or localized cooling against official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau observations that will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 22 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 22 giugno?
23°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$41,179 Vol.
$41,179 Vol.
22 giu 2026
18°C o inferiore
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Sì
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$41,179 Vol.
$41,179 Vol.
22 giu 2026
18°C o inferiore
$1,061 Vol.
No
19°C
$732 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,476 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,090 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,382 Vol.
No
23°C
$17,385 Vol.
Sì
24°C
$6,868 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,621 Vol.
No
26°C
$736 Vol.
No
27°C
$364 Vol.
No
28°C o superiore
$463 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Shanghai on June 22, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Persistent plum rain (meiyu) conditions associated with the East Asian monsoon maintain extensive cloud cover, which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates overnight lows relative to clearer-sky baselines. Historical June climatology shows average minima of 20–22°C, with current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather aligning closely with this range amid expected rain showers and overcast skies. Traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or localized cooling against official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau observations that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$41,179Data di fine
22 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Shanghai on June 22, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Persistent plum rain (meiyu) conditions associated with the East Asian monsoon maintain extensive cloud cover, which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates overnight lows relative to clearer-sky baselines. Historical June climatology shows average minima of 20–22°C, with current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather aligning closely with this range amid expected rain showers and overcast skies. Traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or localized cooling against official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau observations that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,179Data di fine
22 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Shanghai on June 22, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Persistent plum rain (meiyu) conditions associated with the East Asian monsoon maintain extensive cloud cover, which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates overnight lows relative to clearer-sky baselines. Historical June climatology shows average minima of 20–22°C, with current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather aligning closely with this range amid expected rain showers and overcast skies. Traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or localized cooling against official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau observations that will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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