The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo l'11 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo l'11 giugno?
18°C 100.0%
13°C o inferiore <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$23,297 Vol.
$23,297 Vol.
11 giu 2026
13°C o inferiore
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sì
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C o superiore
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C o inferiore <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$23,297 Vol.
$23,297 Vol.
11 giu 2026
13°C o inferiore
$517 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,410 Vol.
No
15°C
$996 Vol.
No
16°C
$887 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,260 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,388 Vol.
Sì
19°C
$4,747 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,376 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,405 Vol.
No
22°C
$739 Vol.
No
23°C o superiore
$1,573 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$23,297Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,297Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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