Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo's overnight minimum near 19°C on June 13, aligning with mid-June climatological normals of roughly 18.6°C and recent model guidance showing calm conditions with limited overnight cooling. This consensus, reinforced by consistent regional observations and typical early-summer humidity patterns that moderate temperature drops, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 19°C low. Uncertainties remain low but could arise from localized station variations, an unexpected late-evening frontal passage, or minor adjustments in final verified readings from the primary Tokyo observatory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 13 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 13 giugno?
19°C 100.0%
11°C o inferiore <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$16,764 Vol.
$16,764 Vol.
13 giu 2026
11°C o inferiore
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sì
20°C
No
21°C o superiore
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C o inferiore <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$16,764 Vol.
$16,764 Vol.
13 giu 2026
11°C o inferiore
$376 Vol.
No
12°C
$366 Vol.
No
13°C
$463 Vol.
No
14°C
$657 Vol.
No
15°C
$657 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,834 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,553 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,630 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,761 Vol.
Sì
20°C
$1,556 Vol.
No
21°C o superiore
$1,913 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo's overnight minimum near 19°C on June 13, aligning with mid-June climatological normals of roughly 18.6°C and recent model guidance showing calm conditions with limited overnight cooling. This consensus, reinforced by consistent regional observations and typical early-summer humidity patterns that moderate temperature drops, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 19°C low. Uncertainties remain low but could arise from localized station variations, an unexpected late-evening frontal passage, or minor adjustments in final verified readings from the primary Tokyo observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$16,764Data di fine
13 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo's overnight minimum near 19°C on June 13, aligning with mid-June climatological normals of roughly 18.6°C and recent model guidance showing calm conditions with limited overnight cooling. This consensus, reinforced by consistent regional observations and typical early-summer humidity patterns that moderate temperature drops, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 19°C low. Uncertainties remain low but could arise from localized station variations, an unexpected late-evening frontal passage, or minor adjustments in final verified readings from the primary Tokyo observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,764Data di fine
13 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo's overnight minimum near 19°C on June 13, aligning with mid-June climatological normals of roughly 18.6°C and recent model guidance showing calm conditions with limited overnight cooling. This consensus, reinforced by consistent regional observations and typical early-summer humidity patterns that moderate temperature drops, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 19°C low. Uncertainties remain low but could arise from localized station variations, an unexpected late-evening frontal passage, or minor adjustments in final verified readings from the primary Tokyo observatory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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