Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, leads recent August 2026 polls with 30-34% support for the first Senate vote, well ahead of Capitão Contar (PL) at 19-20% and lower-polling contenders including Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and others. His advantage stems from high name recognition, prior executive experience, rural base support, and affiliation with the PL alongside Contar to back Governor Eduardo Riedel's re-election bid. With candidacies finalized after the mid-August registration deadline and no major late shifts reported, trader pricing reflects this established polling hierarchy and the two-seat contest structure in the state.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoReinaldo Azambuja 65%
Beto do Movimento 12.6%
Roberto Oshiro 12%
Vander Loubet 11%

Reinaldo Azambuja
65%

Beto do Movimento
13%

Roberto Oshiro
12%

Vander Loubet
11%

Valderi Garcia
7%

Daniel Junior
7%

Soraya
6%

Valter da Comagran
5%

Capitão Contar
5%

Luiz Lemes
4%
Reinaldo Azambuja 65%
Beto do Movimento 12.6%
Roberto Oshiro 12%
Vander Loubet 11%

Reinaldo Azambuja
65%

Beto do Movimento
13%

Roberto Oshiro
12%

Vander Loubet
11%

Valderi Garcia
7%

Daniel Junior
7%

Soraya
6%

Valter da Comagran
5%

Capitão Contar
5%

Luiz Lemes
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, leads recent August 2026 polls with 30-34% support for the first Senate vote, well ahead of Capitão Contar (PL) at 19-20% and lower-polling contenders including Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and others. His advantage stems from high name recognition, prior executive experience, rural base support, and affiliation with the PL alongside Contar to back Governor Eduardo Riedel's re-election bid. With candidacies finalized after the mid-August registration deadline and no major late shifts reported, trader pricing reflects this established polling hierarchy and the two-seat contest structure in the state.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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