Oklahoma City Thunder lead trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability for the Western Conference championship after clinching the NBA's best regular-season record at 64-18, securing home-court advantage throughout the playoffs with a dominant campaign fueled by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's MVP-caliber play. San Antonio Spurs sit second at 21.6% following their surge to the No. 2 seed at 62-20, propelled by Victor Wembanyama's historic performances like 40 points, 13 rebounds, and five assists in just 26 minutes against Dallas on April 10 amid a late-season push. Denver Nuggets hold third at 11.5% with the No. 3 seed (54-28), riding a 12-game win streak including a 128-118 victory over San Antonio on April 12, leveraging Nikola Jokic's triple-double threat despite minor injury management for stars like Jamal Murray. Lower seeds like Minnesota Timberwolves and Houston Rockets trail due to tougher first-round paths against Nuggets and Lakers, respectively, in the bracket set for April 18 start.