Oklahoma City Thunder lead trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability for the Western Conference championship after clinching the No. 1 seed with a 64-18 record, securing home-court advantage throughout the playoffs and a favorable bracket path where second-seeded San Antonio Spurs (21.7%) and third-seeded Denver Nuggets (11.5%) collide in the second round if both advance. Spurs surged late on Victor Wembanyama's dominant outings, including 40 points, 13 rebounds and five assists in 26 minutes versus Dallas on April 10, but a shocking home loss to Denver's third-stringers as 10.5-point favorites on April 13 exposed vulnerabilities ahead of their first-round matchup. Nuggets' resilience, despite load management for Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray, bolsters their odds, while lower seeds like Minnesota Timberwolves and Houston Rockets (both 2.9%) face steeper climbs amid tougher schedules and injury concerns.