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Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

icon for Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Nessun Bond scelto 25.1%

Jack Lowden 24.1%

Callum Turner 16%

James Norton 8.0%

Polymarket

$155,379 Vol.

Nessun Bond scelto 25.1%

Jack Lowden 24.1%

Callum Turner 16%

James Norton 8.0%

Polymarket

$155,379 Vol.

Nessun Bond scelto

$46,239 Vol.

25%

Jack Lowden

$39,610 Vol.

24%

Callum Turner

$32,864 Vol.

16%

James Norton

$1,572 Vol.

8%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$5,641 Vol.

7%

Jacob Elordi

$4,185 Vol.

7%

Theo James

$6,008 Vol.

5%

Henry Cavill

$1,967 Vol.

2%

Michael B Jordan

$1,178 Vol.

2%

Harris Dickinson

$1,804 Vol.

2%

Tom Holland

$1,819 Vol.

1%

Robert James-Collier

$1,153 Vol.

1%

Josh O'Connor

$2,818 Vol.

1%

Tom Hardy

$3,579 Vol.

1%

Pierce Brosnan

$2,443 Vol.

1%

Paul Mescal

$1,417 Vol.

1%

Timothee Chalamet

$1,081 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing casting process for the next James Bond, directed by Denis Villeneuve, has kept the market fragmented, with "no choice yet" holding a slim lead amid reports of active auditions and meetings. Producer Amy Pascal indicated an announcement is likely by year-end, sustaining uncertainty that favors the "no Bond chosen" outcome. Jack Lowden and Callum Turner sit neck-and-neck as the top contenders, reflecting trader focus on British actors in the preferred late-20s to mid-30s range who have impressed in recent studio and precursor projects. Jacob Elordi, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, and Harris Dickinson trail with narrower support, buoyed by industry buzz and shortlist mentions but lacking the same confirmed momentum. August auditions and further Villeneuve outreach remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the tight field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$155,379
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing casting process for the next James Bond, directed by Denis Villeneuve, has kept the market fragmented, with "no choice yet" holding a slim lead amid reports of active auditions and meetings. Producer Amy Pascal indicated an announcement is likely by year-end, sustaining uncertainty that favors the "no Bond chosen" outcome. Jack Lowden and Callum Turner sit neck-and-neck as the top contenders, reflecting trader focus on British actors in the preferred late-20s to mid-30s range who have impressed in recent studio and precursor projects. Jacob Elordi, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, and Harris Dickinson trail with narrower support, buoyed by industry buzz and shortlist mentions but lacking the same confirmed momentum. August auditions and further Villeneuve outreach remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the tight field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$155,379
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 25%, seguito da "Jack Lowden" a 24%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 25¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" ha generato $155.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 18, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 25%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jack Lowden" a 24%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.