Moonshot AI's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with 1-million-token context, native vision, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next Kimi K release. The model, positioned competitively against Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 on benchmarks while leading certain coding arenas, has seen no follow-up announcements or rival claims in the subsequent two months. This timeline aligns with Moonshot's pattern of iterative K-series updates, reinforcing market-implied odds that the Beijing lab will control the next iteration. Upcoming catalysts remain limited absent new regulatory scrutiny or partnership signals, though capacity constraints noted post-launch could influence development speed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo modello Kimi K rilasciato da...?
Prossimo modello Kimi K rilasciato da...?
$15,980 Vol.
15 set 2026
15 settembre 2026
3%
30 settembre 2026
85%
31 dicembre 2026
99%
$15,980 Vol.
15 settembre 2026
$1,921 Vol.
3%
30 settembre 2026
$9,944 Vol.
85%
31 dicembre 2026
$2,188 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with 1-million-token context, native vision, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next Kimi K release. The model, positioned competitively against Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 on benchmarks while leading certain coding arenas, has seen no follow-up announcements or rival claims in the subsequent two months. This timeline aligns with Moonshot's pattern of iterative K-series updates, reinforcing market-implied odds that the Beijing lab will control the next iteration. Upcoming catalysts remain limited absent new regulatory scrutiny or partnership signals, though capacity constraints noted post-launch could influence development speed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Volume
$15,980Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with 1-million-token context, native vision, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next Kimi K release. The model, positioned competitively against Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 on benchmarks while leading certain coding arenas, has seen no follow-up announcements or rival claims in the subsequent two months. This timeline aligns with Moonshot's pattern of iterative K-series updates, reinforcing market-implied odds that the Beijing lab will control the next iteration. Upcoming catalysts remain limited absent new regulatory scrutiny or partnership signals, though capacity constraints noted post-launch could influence development speed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$15,980Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with 1-million-token context, native vision, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next Kimi K release. The model, positioned competitively against Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 on benchmarks while leading certain coding arenas, has seen no follow-up announcements or rival claims in the subsequent two months. This timeline aligns with Moonshot's pattern of iterative K-series updates, reinforcing market-implied odds that the Beijing lab will control the next iteration. Upcoming catalysts remain limited absent new regulatory scrutiny or partnership signals, though capacity constraints noted post-launch could influence development speed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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