Moonshot AI’s aggressive pursuit of additional Nvidia Blackwell GPUs to train a much larger successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3—released July 16, 2026, with weights open-sourced days later—drives trader focus on a potential K4 launch. The Beijing lab’s rapid cadence from the K2.6/K2.7 series through K3 demonstrated frontier-level coding and agentic performance that narrowed the gap with Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol, while recent K2.8 preview updates and an enterprise partner program signal ongoing momentum. U.S. export controls and distillation allegations add uncertainty around compute access, yet the absence of any official K4 announcement or timeline keeps resolution tied to verifiable public availability by late 2026 deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKimi K4 rilasciato da...?
Kimi K4 rilasciato da...?
$17,543 Vol.
31 ott 2026
31 ottobre 2026
3%
31 dicembre 2026
10%
$17,543 Vol.
31 ottobre 2026
$9,489 Vol.
3%
31 dicembre 2026
$8,055 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s aggressive pursuit of additional Nvidia Blackwell GPUs to train a much larger successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3—released July 16, 2026, with weights open-sourced days later—drives trader focus on a potential K4 launch. The Beijing lab’s rapid cadence from the K2.6/K2.7 series through K3 demonstrated frontier-level coding and agentic performance that narrowed the gap with Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol, while recent K2.8 preview updates and an enterprise partner program signal ongoing momentum. U.S. export controls and distillation allegations add uncertainty around compute access, yet the absence of any official K4 announcement or timeline keeps resolution tied to verifiable public availability by late 2026 deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$17,543Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s aggressive pursuit of additional Nvidia Blackwell GPUs to train a much larger successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3—released July 16, 2026, with weights open-sourced days later—drives trader focus on a potential K4 launch. The Beijing lab’s rapid cadence from the K2.6/K2.7 series through K3 demonstrated frontier-level coding and agentic performance that narrowed the gap with Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol, while recent K2.8 preview updates and an enterprise partner program signal ongoing momentum. U.S. export controls and distillation allegations add uncertainty around compute access, yet the absence of any official K4 announcement or timeline keeps resolution tied to verifiable public availability by late 2026 deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$17,543Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s aggressive pursuit of additional Nvidia Blackwell GPUs to train a much larger successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3—released July 16, 2026, with weights open-sourced days later—drives trader focus on a potential K4 launch. The Beijing lab’s rapid cadence from the K2.6/K2.7 series through K3 demonstrated frontier-level coding and agentic performance that narrowed the gap with Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol, while recent K2.8 preview updates and an enterprise partner program signal ongoing momentum. U.S. export controls and distillation allegations add uncertainty around compute access, yet the absence of any official K4 announcement or timeline keeps resolution tied to verifiable public availability by late 2026 deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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