Recent polls, including CAM's April 3-14 survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32.1% with a projected 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly, alongside Market LINKS' April 14 reading of 36.7%, anchor trader consensus around 85-95 seats, reflecting proportional representation dynamics across 31 multi-member constituencies where small vote shifts yield 5-10 seat variances. PB's surge under former President Rumen Radev, fueled by anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government, keeps the race tight amid undecided voters (17%) and fragmented opposition—GERB-SDS at 19-21%, PP-DB and DPS trailing. Final turnout, vote-buying crackdowns by interim PM Andrey Gyurov, and threshold risks for smaller parties like Revival could tip bins ahead of the April 19 snap election, with no outright majority (121 seats) likely, paving coalition negotiations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato85-89 28%
95+ 27%
90-94 17%
80-84 14%
$45,442 Vol.
$45,442 Vol.
19 apr 2026
<75
2%
75-79
3%
80-84
14%
85-89
28%
90-94
25%
95+
27%
85-89 28%
95+ 27%
90-94 17%
80-84 14%
$45,442 Vol.
$45,442 Vol.
19 apr 2026
<75
$1,140 Vol.
2%
75-79
$1,653 Vol.
3%
80-84
$9,325 Vol.
14%
85-89
$8,608 Vol.
28%
90-94
$6,757 Vol.
25%
95+
$17,958 Vol.
27%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including CAM's April 3-14 survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32.1% with a projected 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly, alongside Market LINKS' April 14 reading of 36.7%, anchor trader consensus around 85-95 seats, reflecting proportional representation dynamics across 31 multi-member constituencies where small vote shifts yield 5-10 seat variances. PB's surge under former President Rumen Radev, fueled by anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government, keeps the race tight amid undecided voters (17%) and fragmented opposition—GERB-SDS at 19-21%, PP-DB and DPS trailing. Final turnout, vote-buying crackdowns by interim PM Andrey Gyurov, and threshold risks for smaller parties like Revival could tip bins ahead of the April 19 snap election, with no outright majority (121 seats) likely, paving coalition negotiations.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$45,442Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including CAM's April 3-14 survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32.1% with a projected 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly, alongside Market LINKS' April 14 reading of 36.7%, anchor trader consensus around 85-95 seats, reflecting proportional representation dynamics across 31 multi-member constituencies where small vote shifts yield 5-10 seat variances. PB's surge under former President Rumen Radev, fueled by anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government, keeps the race tight amid undecided voters (17%) and fragmented opposition—GERB-SDS at 19-21%, PP-DB and DPS trailing. Final turnout, vote-buying crackdowns by interim PM Andrey Gyurov, and threshold risks for smaller parties like Revival could tip bins ahead of the April 19 snap election, with no outright majority (121 seats) likely, paving coalition negotiations.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$45,442Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including CAM's April 3-14 survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32.1% with a projected 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly, alongside Market LINKS' April 14 reading of 36.7%, anchor trader consensus around 85-95 seats, reflecting proportional representation dynamics across 31 multi-member constituencies where small vote shifts yield 5-10 seat variances. PB's surge under former President Rumen Radev, fueled by anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government, keeps the race tight amid undecided voters (17%) and fragmented opposition—GERB-SDS at 19-21%, PP-DB and DPS trailing. Final turnout, vote-buying crackdowns by interim PM Andrey Gyurov, and threshold risks for smaller parties like Revival could tip bins ahead of the April 19 snap election, with no outright majority (121 seats) likely, paving coalition negotiations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti