Recent polls, including a Center for Analysis and Marketing survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32% and GERB-SDS at 19%, alongside similar results from Alpha Research and Gallup International, solidify trader consensus on GERB-SDS securing second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—its eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability. The established center-right GERB-SDS alliance benefits from consistent mid-20% support and a fragmented field, staying 7–10 points ahead of PP-DB and DPS despite PB's anti-establishment surge led by former President Rumen Radev's new coalition. With proportional representation allocating 240 National Assembly seats by vote share, GERB-SDS's commanding position reflects voter fatigue favoring incumbents over smaller rivals. Realistic challenges include a late undecided voter swing, campaign scandals, or tactical voting consolidation, though limited days remain before polls close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni parlamentari bulgare: 2° posto
Elezioni parlamentari bulgare: 2° posto
GERB-SDS 96.4%
PB 2.4%
PP–DB 1.8%
DPS <1%
$58,986 Vol.
$58,986 Vol.
19 apr 2026
GERB-SDS
96%
PB
2%
PP–DB
2%
DPS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 96.4%
PB 2.4%
PP–DB 1.8%
DPS <1%
$58,986 Vol.
$58,986 Vol.
19 apr 2026
GERB-SDS
$25,235 Vol.
96%
PB
$8,469 Vol.
2%
PP–DB
$8,283 Vol.
2%
DPS
$1,604 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
APS
$3,977 Vol.
<1%
MECh
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including a Center for Analysis and Marketing survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32% and GERB-SDS at 19%, alongside similar results from Alpha Research and Gallup International, solidify trader consensus on GERB-SDS securing second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—its eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability. The established center-right GERB-SDS alliance benefits from consistent mid-20% support and a fragmented field, staying 7–10 points ahead of PP-DB and DPS despite PB's anti-establishment surge led by former President Rumen Radev's new coalition. With proportional representation allocating 240 National Assembly seats by vote share, GERB-SDS's commanding position reflects voter fatigue favoring incumbents over smaller rivals. Realistic challenges include a late undecided voter swing, campaign scandals, or tactical voting consolidation, though limited days remain before polls close.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volume
$58,986Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including a Center for Analysis and Marketing survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32% and GERB-SDS at 19%, alongside similar results from Alpha Research and Gallup International, solidify trader consensus on GERB-SDS securing second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—its eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability. The established center-right GERB-SDS alliance benefits from consistent mid-20% support and a fragmented field, staying 7–10 points ahead of PP-DB and DPS despite PB's anti-establishment surge led by former President Rumen Radev's new coalition. With proportional representation allocating 240 National Assembly seats by vote share, GERB-SDS's commanding position reflects voter fatigue favoring incumbents over smaller rivals. Realistic challenges include a late undecided voter swing, campaign scandals, or tactical voting consolidation, though limited days remain before polls close.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$58,986Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including a Center for Analysis and Marketing survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32% and GERB-SDS at 19%, alongside similar results from Alpha Research and Gallup International, solidify trader consensus on GERB-SDS securing second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—its eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability. The established center-right GERB-SDS alliance benefits from consistent mid-20% support and a fragmented field, staying 7–10 points ahead of PP-DB and DPS despite PB's anti-establishment surge led by former President Rumen Radev's new coalition. With proportional representation allocating 240 National Assembly seats by vote share, GERB-SDS's commanding position reflects voter fatigue favoring incumbents over smaller rivals. Realistic challenges include a late undecided voter swing, campaign scandals, or tactical voting consolidation, though limited days remain before polls close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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