A fresh Center for Analysis and Marketing poll released April 15 projects Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, at 32% support among decided voters, translating to 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation—closely mirroring trader consensus favoring 85-89 seats (27.5%) over 95+ (22%). Steady polling over the past week, including Sova Harris (33.6%, ~98 seats) and averages around 31% (~93 seats), reflects PB's surge amid voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021, but uncertainty persists from low expected turnout, vote-buying crackdowns by interim PM Andrey Gyurov, and counterfeit currency schemes targeting the April 19 vote. The fragmented field—GERB at 19-23%, PP-DB and DPS near 10-12%—amplifies sensitivity to final mobilization, with higher PB turnout or suppressed smaller parties potentially pushing toward 95+ seats, while fraud fallout could cap below 85.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato85-89 28%
95+ 24%
90-94 17%
80-84 15%
$44,829 Vol.
$44,829 Vol.
19 apr 2026
<75
7%
75-79
8%
80-84
15%
85-89
28%
90-94
17%
95+
24%
85-89 28%
95+ 24%
90-94 17%
80-84 15%
$44,829 Vol.
$44,829 Vol.
19 apr 2026
<75
$989 Vol.
7%
75-79
$1,463 Vol.
8%
80-84
$9,170 Vol.
15%
85-89
$8,548 Vol.
28%
90-94
$6,747 Vol.
17%
95+
$17,913 Vol.
24%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).A fresh Center for Analysis and Marketing poll released April 15 projects Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, at 32% support among decided voters, translating to 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation—closely mirroring trader consensus favoring 85-89 seats (27.5%) over 95+ (22%). Steady polling over the past week, including Sova Harris (33.6%, ~98 seats) and averages around 31% (~93 seats), reflects PB's surge amid voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021, but uncertainty persists from low expected turnout, vote-buying crackdowns by interim PM Andrey Gyurov, and counterfeit currency schemes targeting the April 19 vote. The fragmented field—GERB at 19-23%, PP-DB and DPS near 10-12%—amplifies sensitivity to final mobilization, with higher PB turnout or suppressed smaller parties potentially pushing toward 95+ seats, while fraud fallout could cap below 85.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$44,829Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).A fresh Center for Analysis and Marketing poll released April 15 projects Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, at 32% support among decided voters, translating to 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation—closely mirroring trader consensus favoring 85-89 seats (27.5%) over 95+ (22%). Steady polling over the past week, including Sova Harris (33.6%, ~98 seats) and averages around 31% (~93 seats), reflects PB's surge amid voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021, but uncertainty persists from low expected turnout, vote-buying crackdowns by interim PM Andrey Gyurov, and counterfeit currency schemes targeting the April 19 vote. The fragmented field—GERB at 19-23%, PP-DB and DPS near 10-12%—amplifies sensitivity to final mobilization, with higher PB turnout or suppressed smaller parties potentially pushing toward 95+ seats, while fraud fallout could cap below 85.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$44,829Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A fresh Center for Analysis and Marketing poll released April 15 projects Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, at 32% support among decided voters, translating to 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation—closely mirroring trader consensus favoring 85-89 seats (27.5%) over 95+ (22%). Steady polling over the past week, including Sova Harris (33.6%, ~98 seats) and averages around 31% (~93 seats), reflects PB's surge amid voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021, but uncertainty persists from low expected turnout, vote-buying crackdowns by interim PM Andrey Gyurov, and counterfeit currency schemes targeting the April 19 vote. The fragmented field—GERB at 19-23%, PP-DB and DPS near 10-12%—amplifies sensitivity to final mobilization, with higher PB turnout or suppressed smaller parties potentially pushing toward 95+ seats, while fraud fallout could cap below 85.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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