Recent polls project Progressive Bulgaria (PB), the new centre-left coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, securing 85-94 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, fueling trader consensus with 85-89 seats at 27.5% implied probability and 95+ at 23.5%. A Center for Analysis and Marketing survey (April 3-14) gave PB 32.1% support for 90 seats, while Sova Harris (April 2-6) showed 33.6% for 94 seats, reflecting PB's surge on an anti-corruption, anti-oligarch platform amid voter fatigue from the eighth snap election since 2021. The race stays tight due to 17% undecided voters, fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS at 19-23%, PP-DB 11-13%), and turnout uncertainty; late breaks among undecideds or higher participation from PB's base could push toward 95+ seats, while lower turnout favors sub-90 outcomes ahead of the April 19 vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato85-89 27%
95+ 24%
90-94 17%
80-84 15%
$44,889 Vol.
$44,889 Vol.
19 apr 2026
<75
7%
75-79
8%
80-84
15%
85-89
27%
90-94
17%
95+
24%
85-89 27%
95+ 24%
90-94 17%
80-84 15%
$44,889 Vol.
$44,889 Vol.
19 apr 2026
<75
$999 Vol.
7%
75-79
$1,473 Vol.
8%
80-84
$9,180 Vol.
15%
85-89
$8,558 Vol.
27%
90-94
$6,757 Vol.
17%
95+
$17,923 Vol.
24%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls project Progressive Bulgaria (PB), the new centre-left coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, securing 85-94 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, fueling trader consensus with 85-89 seats at 27.5% implied probability and 95+ at 23.5%. A Center for Analysis and Marketing survey (April 3-14) gave PB 32.1% support for 90 seats, while Sova Harris (April 2-6) showed 33.6% for 94 seats, reflecting PB's surge on an anti-corruption, anti-oligarch platform amid voter fatigue from the eighth snap election since 2021. The race stays tight due to 17% undecided voters, fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS at 19-23%, PP-DB 11-13%), and turnout uncertainty; late breaks among undecideds or higher participation from PB's base could push toward 95+ seats, while lower turnout favors sub-90 outcomes ahead of the April 19 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$44,889Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls project Progressive Bulgaria (PB), the new centre-left coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, securing 85-94 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, fueling trader consensus with 85-89 seats at 27.5% implied probability and 95+ at 23.5%. A Center for Analysis and Marketing survey (April 3-14) gave PB 32.1% support for 90 seats, while Sova Harris (April 2-6) showed 33.6% for 94 seats, reflecting PB's surge on an anti-corruption, anti-oligarch platform amid voter fatigue from the eighth snap election since 2021. The race stays tight due to 17% undecided voters, fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS at 19-23%, PP-DB 11-13%), and turnout uncertainty; late breaks among undecideds or higher participation from PB's base could push toward 95+ seats, while lower turnout favors sub-90 outcomes ahead of the April 19 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$44,889Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls project Progressive Bulgaria (PB), the new centre-left coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, securing 85-94 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, fueling trader consensus with 85-89 seats at 27.5% implied probability and 95+ at 23.5%. A Center for Analysis and Marketing survey (April 3-14) gave PB 32.1% support for 90 seats, while Sova Harris (April 2-6) showed 33.6% for 94 seats, reflecting PB's surge on an anti-corruption, anti-oligarch platform amid voter fatigue from the eighth snap election since 2021. The race stays tight due to 17% undecided voters, fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS at 19-23%, PP-DB 11-13%), and turnout uncertainty; late breaks among undecideds or higher participation from PB's base could push toward 95+ seats, while lower turnout favors sub-90 outcomes ahead of the April 19 vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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