Aston Villa tops trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Europa League, driven by their commanding 3-1 away victory over Bologna in the quarter-final first leg last week, positioning them favorably with home advantage in today's second leg and Unai Emery's unmatched pedigree—four Europa titles as manager. Real Betis (15.5%) holds strong after a 1-1 draw at Braga, bolstered by home-soil edge and solid La Liga momentum. Freiburg (12.3%) benefits from a dominant 3-0 home win versus Celta Vigo, though faces a tricky away decider. Porto (9.9%) edges Nottingham Forest (8.8%) on experience despite a 1-1 first-leg stalemate at home, with Forest's home return adding upset potential. Braga (3.8%) remains live post-draw but trails in bracket path simulations, while Celta (1.7%) and Bologna (0.9%) face steep aggregate deficits. Recent first-leg outcomes sharpened these probabilities, reflecting squad depth, form, and semifinal pathways.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUEFA Europa League: Vincitore
UEFA Europa League: Vincitore
Aston Villa 45%
Real Betis 16%
Friburgo 12.3%
Porto 9.9%
$3,603,360 Vol.
$3,603,360 Vol.
Aston Villa
45%
Real Betis
16%
Friburgo
12%
Porto
10%
Nottingham Forest
9%
Braga
4%
Celta
2%
Bologna
1%
Aston Villa 45%
Real Betis 16%
Friburgo 12.3%
Porto 9.9%
$3,603,360 Vol.
$3,603,360 Vol.
Aston Villa
45%
Real Betis
16%
Friburgo
12%
Porto
10%
Nottingham Forest
9%
Braga
4%
Celta
2%
Bologna
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2025, 1:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aston Villa tops trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Europa League, driven by their commanding 3-1 away victory over Bologna in the quarter-final first leg last week, positioning them favorably with home advantage in today's second leg and Unai Emery's unmatched pedigree—four Europa titles as manager. Real Betis (15.5%) holds strong after a 1-1 draw at Braga, bolstered by home-soil edge and solid La Liga momentum. Freiburg (12.3%) benefits from a dominant 3-0 home win versus Celta Vigo, though faces a tricky away decider. Porto (9.9%) edges Nottingham Forest (8.8%) on experience despite a 1-1 first-leg stalemate at home, with Forest's home return adding upset potential. Braga (3.8%) remains live post-draw but trails in bracket path simulations, while Celta (1.7%) and Bologna (0.9%) face steep aggregate deficits. Recent first-leg outcomes sharpened these probabilities, reflecting squad depth, form, and semifinal pathways.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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