Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Julia Polastri to win at 66% implied probability against Talita Alencar in their women's strawweight prelim bout at UFC Vegas 116 on April 25, driven by Polastri's superior striking volume (6.4 significant strikes per minute, 54% accuracy) and highlight-reel third-round head-kick TKO of veteran Karolina Kowalkiewicz last October. Alencar, a Brazilian jiu-jitsu specialist with four submission victories, rides momentum from her November rear-naked choke of Ariane Carnelossi but faces stylistic challenges against Polastri's physicality and takedown defense. Both enter rested after 5-6 months off with no reported injuries, camp news, or weigh-in issues yet; traders note Polastri's 5'2" frame and reach edge in the three-rounder at the Apex.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoThis market will resolve to "Julia Polastri" if Julia Polastri is officially declared the winner of the fight against Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026.
It will resolve to "Talita Alencar" if Talita Alencar is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julia Polastri defeats Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Talita Alencar defeats Julia Polastri at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Julia Polastri to win at 66% implied probability against Talita Alencar in their women's strawweight prelim bout at UFC Vegas 116 on April 25, driven by Polastri's superior striking volume (6.4 significant strikes per minute, 54% accuracy) and highlight-reel third-round head-kick TKO of veteran Karolina Kowalkiewicz last October. Alencar, a Brazilian jiu-jitsu specialist with four submission victories, rides momentum from her November rear-naked choke of Ariane Carnelossi but faces stylistic challenges against Polastri's physicality and takedown defense. Both enter rested after 5-6 months off with no reported injuries, camp news, or weigh-in issues yet; traders note Polastri's 5'2" frame and reach edge in the three-rounder at the Apex.
This market will resolve to "Julia Polastri" if Julia Polastri is officially declared the winner of the fight against Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026.
It will resolve to "Talita Alencar" if Talita Alencar is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Talita Alencar" if Talita Alencar is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Mercato aperto: Apr 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$167Data di fine
26 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Julia Polastri" if Julia Polastri is officially declared the winner of the fight against Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026.
It will resolve to "Talita Alencar" if Talita Alencar is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julia Polastri defeats Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Talita Alencar defeats Julia Polastri at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Julia Polastri to win at 66% implied probability against Talita Alencar in their women's strawweight prelim bout at UFC Vegas 116 on April 25, driven by Polastri's superior striking volume (6.4 significant strikes per minute, 54% accuracy) and highlight-reel third-round head-kick TKO of veteran Karolina Kowalkiewicz last October. Alencar, a Brazilian jiu-jitsu specialist with four submission victories, rides momentum from her November rear-naked choke of Ariane Carnelossi but faces stylistic challenges against Polastri's physicality and takedown defense. Both enter rested after 5-6 months off with no reported injuries, camp news, or weigh-in issues yet; traders note Polastri's 5'2" frame and reach edge in the three-rounder at the Apex.
This market will resolve to "Julia Polastri" if Julia Polastri is officially declared the winner of the fight against Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026.
It will resolve to "Talita Alencar" if Talita Alencar is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Talita Alencar" if Talita Alencar is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Mercato aperto: Apr 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$167Data di fine
26 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Julia Polastri to win at 66% implied probability against Talita Alencar in their women's strawweight prelim bout at UFC Vegas 116 on April 25, driven by Polastri's superior striking volume (6.4 significant strikes per minute, 54% accuracy) and highlight-reel third-round head-kick TKO of veteran Karolina Kowalkiewicz last October. Alencar, a Brazilian jiu-jitsu specialist with four submission victories, rides momentum from her November rear-naked choke of Ariane Carnelossi but faces stylistic challenges against Polastri's physicality and takedown defense. Both enter rested after 5-6 months off with no reported injuries, camp news, or weigh-in issues yet; traders note Polastri's 5'2" frame and reach edge in the three-rounder at the Apex.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti