Islam Makhachev leads trader consensus at 73% implied probability as the reigning UFC welterweight champion after vacating his lightweight belt and dominating Jack Della Maddalena for the title late last year, bolstered by his pound-for-pound dominance and grappling edge against division contenders. Recent manager comments confirm a "done deal" for his first title defense this summer against a top-ranked challenger, fueling expectations he'll hold the belt through 2026 amid a thin immediate threat landscape. Ian Machado Garry (12%) and Michael Morales (9%) follow as rising prospects—Garry at #2 after upsetting Belal Muhammad and Morales undefeated at #3, positioning them for potential shots despite Makhachev's camp signaling a bigger matchup ahead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIslam Makhachev 73%
Michael Morales 9%
Ian Machado Garry 8%
Kamaru Usman 3.1%
$35,009 Vol.
$35,009 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
73%
Michael Morales
9%
Ian Machado Garry
12%
Kamaru Usman
3%
Carlos Prates
3%
Jack Della Maddalena
2%
Joaquin Buckley
1%
Belal Muhammad
1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Islam Makhachev 73%
Michael Morales 9%
Ian Machado Garry 8%
Kamaru Usman 3.1%
$35,009 Vol.
$35,009 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
73%
Michael Morales
9%
Ian Machado Garry
12%
Kamaru Usman
3%
Carlos Prates
3%
Jack Della Maddalena
2%
Joaquin Buckley
1%
Belal Muhammad
1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev leads trader consensus at 73% implied probability as the reigning UFC welterweight champion after vacating his lightweight belt and dominating Jack Della Maddalena for the title late last year, bolstered by his pound-for-pound dominance and grappling edge against division contenders. Recent manager comments confirm a "done deal" for his first title defense this summer against a top-ranked challenger, fueling expectations he'll hold the belt through 2026 amid a thin immediate threat landscape. Ian Machado Garry (12%) and Michael Morales (9%) follow as rising prospects—Garry at #2 after upsetting Belal Muhammad and Morales undefeated at #3, positioning them for potential shots despite Makhachev's camp signaling a bigger matchup ahead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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