Ilia Topuria leads trader consensus at 66% implied probability as the reigning UFC lightweight champion after his stunning first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira to claim the vacant title at UFC 317, showcasing his elite striking power in the division. His brief hiatus through early 2026 due to personal matters ended recently, with announcements of a title defense against interim champ Justin Gaethje (12%) slated for UFC's White House event on June 14; Gaethje earned the strap via unanimous decision over Paddy Pimblett in January. Arman Tsarukyan (17.5%) remains a top grappler contender post-wrestling wins but lacks recent UFC momentum, while Benoît Saint Denis (8.6%) surges on knockout form yet faces steep stylistic hurdles against the leaders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIlia Topuria 66%
Arman Tsarukyan 18%
Justin Gaethje 12.0%
Benoît Saint Denis 3.3%
$19,462 Vol.
$19,462 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
66%
Arman Tsarukyan
18%
Charles Oliveira
1%
Max Holloway
1%
Justin Gaethje
12%
Paddy Pimblett
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
9%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Ilia Topuria 66%
Arman Tsarukyan 18%
Justin Gaethje 12.0%
Benoît Saint Denis 3.3%
$19,462 Vol.
$19,462 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
66%
Arman Tsarukyan
18%
Charles Oliveira
1%
Max Holloway
1%
Justin Gaethje
12%
Paddy Pimblett
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
9%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ilia Topuria leads trader consensus at 66% implied probability as the reigning UFC lightweight champion after his stunning first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira to claim the vacant title at UFC 317, showcasing his elite striking power in the division. His brief hiatus through early 2026 due to personal matters ended recently, with announcements of a title defense against interim champ Justin Gaethje (12%) slated for UFC's White House event on June 14; Gaethje earned the strap via unanimous decision over Paddy Pimblett in January. Arman Tsarukyan (17.5%) remains a top grappler contender post-wrestling wins but lacks recent UFC momentum, while Benoît Saint Denis (8.6%) surges on knockout form yet faces steep stylistic hurdles against the leaders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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