**UK Annual GDP Growth 2026** markets price a strong consensus around 1-2% growth, consistent with the Bank of England’s July 2026 central projection of 1.1% annual expansion and independent forecasts clustered near 1.0-1.1%. Subdued momentum reflects the ongoing energy price shock from Middle East tensions, which has raised input costs and weighed on real incomes, alongside tighter financial conditions that continue to constrain household spending and business investment. Recent data show resilience, with July 2026 GDP rising 0.4% month-on-month—above the zero consensus—driven by services, particularly AI-related computer programming and consulting, pushing year-on-year growth to 1.6%. First-half 2026 expansion reached approximately 1%, the strongest among G7 peers, though analysts expect moderation in the second half. The dominant 1-2% outcome captures this base case of modest, uneven growth, with limited scope for outcomes outside that range absent major shifts in energy prices or policy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1-2% 88.8%
0-1% 10%
3-4% 1.4%
<0 1.1%
$83,507 Vol.
$83,507 Vol.
11 feb 2027
<0
1%
0-1%
10%
1-2%
89%
2-3%
1%
3-4%
1%
4-5%
<1%
5%+
<1%
1-2% 88.8%
0-1% 10%
3-4% 1.4%
<0 1.1%
$83,507 Vol.
$83,507 Vol.
11 feb 2027
<0
$11,971 Vol.
1%
0-1%
$20,172 Vol.
10%
1-2%
$30,118 Vol.
89%
2-3%
$4,731 Vol.
1%
3-4%
$3,663 Vol.
1%
4-5%
$8,810 Vol.
<1%
5%+
$4,041 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.**UK Annual GDP Growth 2026** markets price a strong consensus around 1-2% growth, consistent with the Bank of England’s July 2026 central projection of 1.1% annual expansion and independent forecasts clustered near 1.0-1.1%. Subdued momentum reflects the ongoing energy price shock from Middle East tensions, which has raised input costs and weighed on real incomes, alongside tighter financial conditions that continue to constrain household spending and business investment. Recent data show resilience, with July 2026 GDP rising 0.4% month-on-month—above the zero consensus—driven by services, particularly AI-related computer programming and consulting, pushing year-on-year growth to 1.6%. First-half 2026 expansion reached approximately 1%, the strongest among G7 peers, though analysts expect moderation in the second half. The dominant 1-2% outcome captures this base case of modest, uneven growth, with limited scope for outcomes outside that range absent major shifts in energy prices or policy.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$83,507Data di fine
12 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.**UK Annual GDP Growth 2026** markets price a strong consensus around 1-2% growth, consistent with the Bank of England’s July 2026 central projection of 1.1% annual expansion and independent forecasts clustered near 1.0-1.1%. Subdued momentum reflects the ongoing energy price shock from Middle East tensions, which has raised input costs and weighed on real incomes, alongside tighter financial conditions that continue to constrain household spending and business investment. Recent data show resilience, with July 2026 GDP rising 0.4% month-on-month—above the zero consensus—driven by services, particularly AI-related computer programming and consulting, pushing year-on-year growth to 1.6%. First-half 2026 expansion reached approximately 1%, the strongest among G7 peers, though analysts expect moderation in the second half. The dominant 1-2% outcome captures this base case of modest, uneven growth, with limited scope for outcomes outside that range absent major shifts in energy prices or policy.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$83,507Data di fine
12 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**UK Annual GDP Growth 2026** markets price a strong consensus around 1-2% growth, consistent with the Bank of England’s July 2026 central projection of 1.1% annual expansion and independent forecasts clustered near 1.0-1.1%. Subdued momentum reflects the ongoing energy price shock from Middle East tensions, which has raised input costs and weighed on real incomes, alongside tighter financial conditions that continue to constrain household spending and business investment. Recent data show resilience, with July 2026 GDP rising 0.4% month-on-month—above the zero consensus—driven by services, particularly AI-related computer programming and consulting, pushing year-on-year growth to 1.6%. First-half 2026 expansion reached approximately 1%, the strongest among G7 peers, though analysts expect moderation in the second half. The dominant 1-2% outcome captures this base case of modest, uneven growth, with limited scope for outcomes outside that range absent major shifts in energy prices or policy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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