Skip to main content
icon for Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
Economy·Indicatori Macro

Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?

icon for Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
Economy·Indicatori Macro

Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?

lug 30

lug 30

1.0-1.5% 35%

1.5-2.0% 33%

2.0-2.5% 10.8%

0.5-1.0% 10.3%

Polymarket

$29,695 Vol.

1.0-1.5% 35%

1.5-2.0% 33%

2.0-2.5% 10.8%

0.5-1.0% 10.3%

Polymarket

$29,695 Vol.

<-0,5%

$4,641 Vol.

1%

-0,5-0,0%

$9,564 Vol.

3%

0.0-0.5%

$2,102 Vol.

5%

0.5-1.0%

$1,381 Vol.

10%

1.0-1.5%

$2,535 Vol.

35%

1.5-2.0%

$1,815 Vol.

33%

2.0-2.5%

$1,436 Vol.

11%

2.5%+

$6,221 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q1 2026 GDP contraction of 0.6% quarter-over-quarter, following modest Q4 expansion, combined with sticky core inflation near 4.5%, underpins closely matched Polymarket probabilities clustered around 43-49% across growth buckets from negative to above 2.5%. Traders weigh Banxico’s ongoing rate cuts to 6.5-6.75% against persistent services and food price pressures that limit demand-side support. U.S. tariff exposure, peso strength, and softening manufacturing offset resilient consumption, remittances, and labor market data. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty ahead of the July preliminary Q2 release, with swing factors including energy prices, U.S. demand, and any additional monetary easing.

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,695
Data di fine
30 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 11:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q1 2026 GDP contraction of 0.6% quarter-over-quarter, following modest Q4 expansion, combined with sticky core inflation near 4.5%, underpins closely matched Polymarket probabilities clustered around 43-49% across growth buckets from negative to above 2.5%. Traders weigh Banxico’s ongoing rate cuts to 6.5-6.75% against persistent services and food price pressures that limit demand-side support. U.S. tariff exposure, peso strength, and softening manufacturing offset resilient consumption, remittances, and labor market data. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty ahead of the July preliminary Q2 release, with swing factors including energy prices, U.S. demand, and any additional monetary easing.

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,695
Data di fine
30 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 11:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Correlati

icon for Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

33%
icon for Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?

Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?

38%
icon for Il tasso di crescita del PIL del Brasile nel secondo trimestre 2026 (su base trimestrale) sarà compreso tra 0,3% e 0,5%?

Il tasso di crescita del PIL del Brasile nel secondo trimestre 2026 (su base trimestrale) sarà compreso tra 0,3% e 0,5%?

42%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "1.0-1.5%" a 35%, seguito da "1.5-2.0%" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 35¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 35% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?" ha generato $29.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 4, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?" è "1.0-1.5%" a 35%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 35% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "1.5-2.0%" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.