China’s consumer price index eased to a six-month low of 0.5% year-on-year in July 2026, down from 1.0% in June and below forecasts, extending a pattern of subdued readings driven by weak domestic demand, falling food prices (notably pork amid ample supply), and moderating non-food components such as transport after fuel-price adjustments and softer global energy costs. Official data and analyst projections for full-year 2026 CPI cluster around 0.7–1.2%, reflecting persistent soft consumption, limited pass-through from earlier producer-price gains tied to commodity inputs, and policy emphasis on stability over aggressive stimulus. These conditions have concentrated trader positioning in the 0.6–1.0% bracket as the most probable annual outcome, with narrower bands around zero or above 1.5% priced at lower levels consistent with the observed cooling trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCina Inflazione annuale 2026
Cina Inflazione annuale 2026
0,6 – 1,0% 43%
0,1 – 0,5% 17.5%
1,1 – 1,5% 17%
2,0-2,4% 5.5%
$72,262 Vol.
$72,262 Vol.
10 gen 2027
<-1,0%
3%
-0,9 – -0,5%
1%
-0,4 – 0,0%
3%
0,1 – 0,5%
18%
0,6 – 1,0%
43%
1,1 – 1,5%
17%
1,6 – 2,0%
5%
2,0-2,4%
6%
2,5%+
<1%
0,6 – 1,0% 43%
0,1 – 0,5% 17.5%
1,1 – 1,5% 17%
2,0-2,4% 5.5%
$72,262 Vol.
$72,262 Vol.
10 gen 2027
<-1,0%
$19,726 Vol.
3%
-0,9 – -0,5%
$3,327 Vol.
1%
-0,4 – 0,0%
$4,597 Vol.
3%
0,1 – 0,5%
$4,841 Vol.
18%
0,6 – 1,0%
$8,747 Vol.
43%
1,1 – 1,5%
$13,361 Vol.
17%
1,6 – 2,0%
$6,446 Vol.
5%
2,0-2,4%
$7,874 Vol.
6%
2,5%+
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s consumer price index eased to a six-month low of 0.5% year-on-year in July 2026, down from 1.0% in June and below forecasts, extending a pattern of subdued readings driven by weak domestic demand, falling food prices (notably pork amid ample supply), and moderating non-food components such as transport after fuel-price adjustments and softer global energy costs. Official data and analyst projections for full-year 2026 CPI cluster around 0.7–1.2%, reflecting persistent soft consumption, limited pass-through from earlier producer-price gains tied to commodity inputs, and policy emphasis on stability over aggressive stimulus. These conditions have concentrated trader positioning in the 0.6–1.0% bracket as the most probable annual outcome, with narrower bands around zero or above 1.5% priced at lower levels consistent with the observed cooling trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$72,262Data di fine
10 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s consumer price index eased to a six-month low of 0.5% year-on-year in July 2026, down from 1.0% in June and below forecasts, extending a pattern of subdued readings driven by weak domestic demand, falling food prices (notably pork amid ample supply), and moderating non-food components such as transport after fuel-price adjustments and softer global energy costs. Official data and analyst projections for full-year 2026 CPI cluster around 0.7–1.2%, reflecting persistent soft consumption, limited pass-through from earlier producer-price gains tied to commodity inputs, and policy emphasis on stability over aggressive stimulus. These conditions have concentrated trader positioning in the 0.6–1.0% bracket as the most probable annual outcome, with narrower bands around zero or above 1.5% priced at lower levels consistent with the observed cooling trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$72,262Data di fine
10 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s consumer price index eased to a six-month low of 0.5% year-on-year in July 2026, down from 1.0% in June and below forecasts, extending a pattern of subdued readings driven by weak domestic demand, falling food prices (notably pork amid ample supply), and moderating non-food components such as transport after fuel-price adjustments and softer global energy costs. Official data and analyst projections for full-year 2026 CPI cluster around 0.7–1.2%, reflecting persistent soft consumption, limited pass-through from earlier producer-price gains tied to commodity inputs, and policy emphasis on stability over aggressive stimulus. These conditions have concentrated trader positioning in the 0.6–1.0% bracket as the most probable annual outcome, with narrower bands around zero or above 1.5% priced at lower levels consistent with the observed cooling trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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