Polymarket traders price a 42% implied probability on China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting the National Bureau of Statistics’ March report showing 1.0% year-on-year consumer price growth—below the 1.2% consensus forecast and down from February’s three-year high of 1.3%—with the first-quarter average at 0.9%. Subdued household demand amid property sector weakness and excess capacity offsets producer price index gains from recent oil shocks tied to Middle East tensions, while People’s Bank of China’s moderately loose monetary policy supports growth without stoking inflation. Bank of America and Focus Economics forecast full-year CPI around 0.6–0.7%, positioning lower brackets like 0.1–0.5% (17%) as contenders amid deflation risks. April CPI data, due mid-May, looms as the next catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCina Inflazione annuale 2026
Cina Inflazione annuale 2026
0,6 – 1,0% 41%
1,1 – 1,5% 20%
0,1 – 0,5% 16%
2,5%+ 10.0%
$32,704 Vol.
$32,704 Vol.
10 gen 2027
<-1,0%
10%
-0,9 – -0,5%
4%
-0,4 – 0,0%
1%
0,1 – 0,5%
16%
0,6 – 1,0%
42%
1,1 – 1,5%
20%
1,6 – 2,0%
7%
2,0-2,4%
6%
2,5%+
10%
0,6 – 1,0% 41%
1,1 – 1,5% 20%
0,1 – 0,5% 16%
2,5%+ 10.0%
$32,704 Vol.
$32,704 Vol.
10 gen 2027
<-1,0%
$16,917 Vol.
10%
-0,9 – -0,5%
$1,787 Vol.
4%
-0,4 – 0,0%
$1,832 Vol.
1%
0,1 – 0,5%
$1,869 Vol.
16%
0,6 – 1,0%
$2,055 Vol.
42%
1,1 – 1,5%
$2,379 Vol.
20%
1,6 – 2,0%
$2,544 Vol.
7%
2,0-2,4%
$1,669 Vol.
6%
2,5%+
$1,651 Vol.
10%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders price a 42% implied probability on China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting the National Bureau of Statistics’ March report showing 1.0% year-on-year consumer price growth—below the 1.2% consensus forecast and down from February’s three-year high of 1.3%—with the first-quarter average at 0.9%. Subdued household demand amid property sector weakness and excess capacity offsets producer price index gains from recent oil shocks tied to Middle East tensions, while People’s Bank of China’s moderately loose monetary policy supports growth without stoking inflation. Bank of America and Focus Economics forecast full-year CPI around 0.6–0.7%, positioning lower brackets like 0.1–0.5% (17%) as contenders amid deflation risks. April CPI data, due mid-May, looms as the next catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$32,704Data di fine
10 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders price a 42% implied probability on China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting the National Bureau of Statistics’ March report showing 1.0% year-on-year consumer price growth—below the 1.2% consensus forecast and down from February’s three-year high of 1.3%—with the first-quarter average at 0.9%. Subdued household demand amid property sector weakness and excess capacity offsets producer price index gains from recent oil shocks tied to Middle East tensions, while People’s Bank of China’s moderately loose monetary policy supports growth without stoking inflation. Bank of America and Focus Economics forecast full-year CPI around 0.6–0.7%, positioning lower brackets like 0.1–0.5% (17%) as contenders amid deflation risks. April CPI data, due mid-May, looms as the next catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$32,704Data di fine
10 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 42% implied probability on China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting the National Bureau of Statistics’ March report showing 1.0% year-on-year consumer price growth—below the 1.2% consensus forecast and down from February’s three-year high of 1.3%—with the first-quarter average at 0.9%. Subdued household demand amid property sector weakness and excess capacity offsets producer price index gains from recent oil shocks tied to Middle East tensions, while People’s Bank of China’s moderately loose monetary policy supports growth without stoking inflation. Bank of America and Focus Economics forecast full-year CPI around 0.6–0.7%, positioning lower brackets like 0.1–0.5% (17%) as contenders amid deflation risks. April CPI data, due mid-May, looms as the next catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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