**Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026 (revised higher), with year-on-year growth at 1.2%, reflecting stronger-than-expected resilience amid the Middle East conflict.** ECB staff projections released September 10 maintain a 0.9% annual growth forecast for 2026 overall, with quarterly momentum projected to moderate to around 0.2% in Q3 on an adjusted basis due to heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices that pushed July HICP inflation to 2.9%. The ECB responded by hiking its key rates 25 basis points in its September meeting, citing persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Supporting factors include stable unemployment near 6.3%, fiscal loosening, defense and infrastructure spending, AI-related investment, and improving export demand, while risks from geopolitical energy volatility and weather-related drags weigh on the near-term outlook. These dynamics align trader consensus around the 0.8-1.1% y/y range for Q3 2026 as the highest-probability outcome ahead of the October 30 flash release, with lower-probability tails reflecting uncertainty over energy price paths and any last-minute data revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato0.8-1.1% 52%
1.2-1.5% 29.8%
0.4-0.7% 14.5%
0.0-0.3% 5.5%
$63,030 Vol.
$63,030 Vol.
30 ott 2026
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
5%
0.4-0.7%
14%
0.8-1.1%
52%
1.2-1.5%
30%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 52%
1.2-1.5% 29.8%
0.4-0.7% 14.5%
0.0-0.3% 5.5%
$63,030 Vol.
$63,030 Vol.
30 ott 2026
<0.0%
$1,774 Vol.
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,692 Vol.
5%
0.4-0.7%
$9,978 Vol.
14%
0.8-1.1%
$42,856 Vol.
52%
1.2-1.5%
$3,591 Vol.
30%
1.6-1.9%
$1,702 Vol.
<1%
2.0%+
$1,437 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026 (revised higher), with year-on-year growth at 1.2%, reflecting stronger-than-expected resilience amid the Middle East conflict.** ECB staff projections released September 10 maintain a 0.9% annual growth forecast for 2026 overall, with quarterly momentum projected to moderate to around 0.2% in Q3 on an adjusted basis due to heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices that pushed July HICP inflation to 2.9%.
The ECB responded by hiking its key rates 25 basis points in its September meeting, citing persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Supporting factors include stable unemployment near 6.3%, fiscal loosening, defense and infrastructure spending, AI-related investment, and improving export demand, while risks from geopolitical energy volatility and weather-related drags weigh on the near-term outlook. These dynamics align trader consensus around the 0.8-1.1% y/y range for Q3 2026 as the highest-probability outcome ahead of the October 30 flash release, with lower-probability tails reflecting uncertainty over energy price paths and any last-minute data revisions.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$63,030Data di fine
30 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026 (revised higher), with year-on-year growth at 1.2%, reflecting stronger-than-expected resilience amid the Middle East conflict.** ECB staff projections released September 10 maintain a 0.9% annual growth forecast for 2026 overall, with quarterly momentum projected to moderate to around 0.2% in Q3 on an adjusted basis due to heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices that pushed July HICP inflation to 2.9%.
The ECB responded by hiking its key rates 25 basis points in its September meeting, citing persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Supporting factors include stable unemployment near 6.3%, fiscal loosening, defense and infrastructure spending, AI-related investment, and improving export demand, while risks from geopolitical energy volatility and weather-related drags weigh on the near-term outlook. These dynamics align trader consensus around the 0.8-1.1% y/y range for Q3 2026 as the highest-probability outcome ahead of the October 30 flash release, with lower-probability tails reflecting uncertainty over energy price paths and any last-minute data revisions.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$63,030Data di fine
30 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026 (revised higher), with year-on-year growth at 1.2%, reflecting stronger-than-expected resilience amid the Middle East conflict.** ECB staff projections released September 10 maintain a 0.9% annual growth forecast for 2026 overall, with quarterly momentum projected to moderate to around 0.2% in Q3 on an adjusted basis due to heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices that pushed July HICP inflation to 2.9%. The ECB responded by hiking its key rates 25 basis points in its September meeting, citing persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Supporting factors include stable unemployment near 6.3%, fiscal loosening, defense and infrastructure spending, AI-related investment, and improving export demand, while risks from geopolitical energy volatility and weather-related drags weigh on the near-term outlook. These dynamics align trader consensus around the 0.8-1.1% y/y range for Q3 2026 as the highest-probability outcome ahead of the October 30 flash release, with lower-probability tails reflecting uncertainty over energy price paths and any last-minute data revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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