Recent Q2 2026 euro-area GDP expansion of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, exceeding expectations after Q1 stagnation, anchors near-term sentiment, yet forward-looking probabilities cluster around subdued ranges amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and June inflation at 2.8%. The ECB’s 25-basis-point hike to a 2.25% deposit rate in June, followed by a July hold, reflects data-dependent tightening to anchor 2% inflation, curbing growth expectations. Analyst consensus for full-year 2026 GDP near 0.8% and contractionary PMI readings underscore downside risks from weak domestic demand and net exports, with Q3 outcomes likely hinging on August-September inflation prints and any de-escalation in geopolitical pressures. Market-implied odds embed these crosscurrents without assuming resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato0.8-1.1% 49%
0.4-0.7% 32%
0.0-0.3% 9%
1.2-1.5% 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ott 2026
<0.0%
5%
0.0-0.3%
9%
0.4-0.7%
32%
0.8-1.1%
49%
1.2-1.5%
9%
1.6-1.9%
5%
2.0%+
5%
0.8-1.1% 49%
0.4-0.7% 32%
0.0-0.3% 9%
1.2-1.5% 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ott 2026
<0.0%
$0 Vol.
5%
0.0-0.3%
$0 Vol.
9%
0.4-0.7%
$0 Vol.
32%
0.8-1.1%
$0 Vol.
49%
1.2-1.5%
$0 Vol.
9%
1.6-1.9%
$0 Vol.
5%
2.0%+
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 euro-area GDP expansion of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, exceeding expectations after Q1 stagnation, anchors near-term sentiment, yet forward-looking probabilities cluster around subdued ranges amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and June inflation at 2.8%. The ECB’s 25-basis-point hike to a 2.25% deposit rate in June, followed by a July hold, reflects data-dependent tightening to anchor 2% inflation, curbing growth expectations. Analyst consensus for full-year 2026 GDP near 0.8% and contractionary PMI readings underscore downside risks from weak domestic demand and net exports, with Q3 outcomes likely hinging on August-September inflation prints and any de-escalation in geopolitical pressures. Market-implied odds embed these crosscurrents without assuming resolution.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 euro-area GDP expansion of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, exceeding expectations after Q1 stagnation, anchors near-term sentiment, yet forward-looking probabilities cluster around subdued ranges amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and June inflation at 2.8%. The ECB’s 25-basis-point hike to a 2.25% deposit rate in June, followed by a July hold, reflects data-dependent tightening to anchor 2% inflation, curbing growth expectations. Analyst consensus for full-year 2026 GDP near 0.8% and contractionary PMI readings underscore downside risks from weak domestic demand and net exports, with Q3 outcomes likely hinging on August-September inflation prints and any de-escalation in geopolitical pressures. Market-implied odds embed these crosscurrents without assuming resolution.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 euro-area GDP expansion of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, exceeding expectations after Q1 stagnation, anchors near-term sentiment, yet forward-looking probabilities cluster around subdued ranges amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and June inflation at 2.8%. The ECB’s 25-basis-point hike to a 2.25% deposit rate in June, followed by a July hold, reflects data-dependent tightening to anchor 2% inflation, curbing growth expectations. Analyst consensus for full-year 2026 GDP near 0.8% and contractionary PMI readings underscore downside risks from weak domestic demand and net exports, with Q3 outcomes likely hinging on August-September inflation prints and any de-escalation in geopolitical pressures. Market-implied odds embed these crosscurrents without assuming resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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