Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a fragmented consensus for Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation, with the 3.5-3.9% bin leading at 28.8% implied probability amid elevated uncertainty, as no outcome exceeds 30%. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—down from 2.3% in January—driven by base-year effects from expiring GST/HST relief, though core measures like CPI-trim held near 2.3% and food inflation surged 5.4%. Bank of Canada maintained its policy rate at 2.25% in recent deliberations, balancing persistent shelter costs and wage pressures against disinflationary forces. Upside risks from energy shocks, geopolitical tensions, and fiscal expansion differentiate higher bins, while March CPI (due April 20) and the April 29 BoC decision loom as key catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCanada Inflazione annuale 2026
Canada Inflazione annuale 2026
3,5-3,9% 28.8%
3,0-3,4% 16.7%
2,5–2,9% 13.0%
4,0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 Vol.
$15,800 Vol.
18 gen 2027
<1,0%
7%
1,0–1,4%
<1%
1,5–1,9%
4%
2,0–2,4%
5%
2,5–2,9%
16%
3,0-3,4%
17%
3,5-3,9%
29%
4,0%+
18%
3,5-3,9% 28.8%
3,0-3,4% 16.7%
2,5–2,9% 13.0%
4,0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 Vol.
$15,800 Vol.
18 gen 2027
<1,0%
$282 Vol.
7%
1,0–1,4%
$303 Vol.
<1%
1,5–1,9%
$568 Vol.
4%
2,0–2,4%
$350 Vol.
5%
2,5–2,9%
$464 Vol.
16%
3,0-3,4%
$13,245 Vol.
17%
3,5-3,9%
$263 Vol.
29%
4,0%+
$325 Vol.
18%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a fragmented consensus for Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation, with the 3.5-3.9% bin leading at 28.8% implied probability amid elevated uncertainty, as no outcome exceeds 30%. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—down from 2.3% in January—driven by base-year effects from expiring GST/HST relief, though core measures like CPI-trim held near 2.3% and food inflation surged 5.4%. Bank of Canada maintained its policy rate at 2.25% in recent deliberations, balancing persistent shelter costs and wage pressures against disinflationary forces. Upside risks from energy shocks, geopolitical tensions, and fiscal expansion differentiate higher bins, while March CPI (due April 20) and the April 29 BoC decision loom as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$15,800Data di fine
18 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a fragmented consensus for Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation, with the 3.5-3.9% bin leading at 28.8% implied probability amid elevated uncertainty, as no outcome exceeds 30%. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—down from 2.3% in January—driven by base-year effects from expiring GST/HST relief, though core measures like CPI-trim held near 2.3% and food inflation surged 5.4%. Bank of Canada maintained its policy rate at 2.25% in recent deliberations, balancing persistent shelter costs and wage pressures against disinflationary forces. Upside risks from energy shocks, geopolitical tensions, and fiscal expansion differentiate higher bins, while March CPI (due April 20) and the April 29 BoC decision loom as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$15,800Data di fine
18 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a fragmented consensus for Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation, with the 3.5-3.9% bin leading at 28.8% implied probability amid elevated uncertainty, as no outcome exceeds 30%. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—down from 2.3% in January—driven by base-year effects from expiring GST/HST relief, though core measures like CPI-trim held near 2.3% and food inflation surged 5.4%. Bank of Canada maintained its policy rate at 2.25% in recent deliberations, balancing persistent shelter costs and wage pressures against disinflationary forces. Upside risks from energy shocks, geopolitical tensions, and fiscal expansion differentiate higher bins, while March CPI (due April 20) and the April 29 BoC decision loom as key catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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