Recent surges in global oil prices from Middle East tensions have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026, up from 2.4% in March, pushing market-implied odds for the 2026 annual average into a tight cluster around the 2% target band. The Bank of Canada projects inflation rising modestly above its January forecast for 2026 before easing back toward 2% in 2027, citing energy-driven gains offset by soft domestic demand, excess supply, and core measures already near target. Traders weigh whether the shock proves transitory—as futures curves suggest oil prices easing later in the year—or broadens into persistent pressures amid weak growth and a 2.25% policy rate held steady through year-end. This uncertainty sustains competitive probabilities across the 1.5–3.9% ranges, with upcoming CPI releases and BoC communications as key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCanada Inflazione annuale 2026
Canada Inflazione annuale 2026
2,5–2,9% 46.9%
3,5-3,9% 34.6%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
1,0–1,4% 5.9%
$16,471 Vol.
$16,471 Vol.
18 gen 2027
<1,0%
33%
1,0–1,4%
6%
1,5–1,9%
36%
2,0–2,4%
20%
2,5–2,9%
36%
3,0-3,4%
33%
3,5-3,9%
35%
4,0%+
1%
2,5–2,9% 46.9%
3,5-3,9% 34.6%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
1,0–1,4% 5.9%
$16,471 Vol.
$16,471 Vol.
18 gen 2027
<1,0%
$339 Vol.
33%
1,0–1,4%
$360 Vol.
6%
1,5–1,9%
$656 Vol.
36%
2,0–2,4%
$468 Vol.
20%
2,5–2,9%
$502 Vol.
36%
3,0-3,4%
$13,465 Vol.
33%
3,5-3,9%
$287 Vol.
35%
4,0%+
$395 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent surges in global oil prices from Middle East tensions have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026, up from 2.4% in March, pushing market-implied odds for the 2026 annual average into a tight cluster around the 2% target band. The Bank of Canada projects inflation rising modestly above its January forecast for 2026 before easing back toward 2% in 2027, citing energy-driven gains offset by soft domestic demand, excess supply, and core measures already near target. Traders weigh whether the shock proves transitory—as futures curves suggest oil prices easing later in the year—or broadens into persistent pressures amid weak growth and a 2.25% policy rate held steady through year-end. This uncertainty sustains competitive probabilities across the 1.5–3.9% ranges, with upcoming CPI releases and BoC communications as key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$16,471Data di fine
18 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent surges in global oil prices from Middle East tensions have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026, up from 2.4% in March, pushing market-implied odds for the 2026 annual average into a tight cluster around the 2% target band. The Bank of Canada projects inflation rising modestly above its January forecast for 2026 before easing back toward 2% in 2027, citing energy-driven gains offset by soft domestic demand, excess supply, and core measures already near target. Traders weigh whether the shock proves transitory—as futures curves suggest oil prices easing later in the year—or broadens into persistent pressures amid weak growth and a 2.25% policy rate held steady through year-end. This uncertainty sustains competitive probabilities across the 1.5–3.9% ranges, with upcoming CPI releases and BoC communications as key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$16,471Data di fine
18 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent surges in global oil prices from Middle East tensions have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026, up from 2.4% in March, pushing market-implied odds for the 2026 annual average into a tight cluster around the 2% target band. The Bank of Canada projects inflation rising modestly above its January forecast for 2026 before easing back toward 2% in 2027, citing energy-driven gains offset by soft domestic demand, excess supply, and core measures already near target. Traders weigh whether the shock proves transitory—as futures curves suggest oil prices easing later in the year—or broadens into persistent pressures amid weak growth and a 2.25% policy rate held steady through year-end. This uncertainty sustains competitive probabilities across the 1.5–3.9% ranges, with upcoming CPI releases and BoC communications as key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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