Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have kept oil prices and gasoline costs elevated, holding Canada's headline CPI near 3.0% year-over-year through August 2026 even as core measures (BoC trim and median) remain close to the 2% target and CPI excluding gasoline sits at 2.2-2.4%. Bank of Canada projections from the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate easing toward 2.5% in the second half of the year and 2% by early 2027, assuming normalization in energy prices and limited pass-through, though upside risks from persistent refinery margins, a weaker CAD, and potential US trade frictions have intensified. With the two leading annual inflation bins for 2026 essentially tied, trader sentiment hinges on incoming data and the October MPR for evidence of broadening pressures versus contained underlying trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCanada Inflazione annuale 2026
Canada Inflazione annuale 2026
3,0-3,4% 36.3%
2,5–2,9% 33.1%
3,5-3,9% 15.0%
2,0–2,4% 7.3%
$42,211 Vol.
$42,211 Vol.
17 gen 2027
<1,0%
1%
1,0–1,4%
3%
1,5–1,9%
1%
2,0–2,4%
7%
2,5–2,9%
33%
3,0-3,4%
36%
3,5-3,9%
15%
4,0%+
4%
3,0-3,4% 36.3%
2,5–2,9% 33.1%
3,5-3,9% 15.0%
2,0–2,4% 7.3%
$42,211 Vol.
$42,211 Vol.
17 gen 2027
<1,0%
$1,225 Vol.
1%
1,0–1,4%
$5,465 Vol.
3%
1,5–1,9%
$3,466 Vol.
1%
2,0–2,4%
$2,656 Vol.
7%
2,5–2,9%
$10,244 Vol.
33%
3,0-3,4%
$14,363 Vol.
36%
3,5-3,9%
$4,254 Vol.
15%
4,0%+
$539 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have kept oil prices and gasoline costs elevated, holding Canada's headline CPI near 3.0% year-over-year through August 2026 even as core measures (BoC trim and median) remain close to the 2% target and CPI excluding gasoline sits at 2.2-2.4%. Bank of Canada projections from the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate easing toward 2.5% in the second half of the year and 2% by early 2027, assuming normalization in energy prices and limited pass-through, though upside risks from persistent refinery margins, a weaker CAD, and potential US trade frictions have intensified. With the two leading annual inflation bins for 2026 essentially tied, trader sentiment hinges on incoming data and the October MPR for evidence of broadening pressures versus contained underlying trends.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$42,211Data di fine
18 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have kept oil prices and gasoline costs elevated, holding Canada's headline CPI near 3.0% year-over-year through August 2026 even as core measures (BoC trim and median) remain close to the 2% target and CPI excluding gasoline sits at 2.2-2.4%. Bank of Canada projections from the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate easing toward 2.5% in the second half of the year and 2% by early 2027, assuming normalization in energy prices and limited pass-through, though upside risks from persistent refinery margins, a weaker CAD, and potential US trade frictions have intensified. With the two leading annual inflation bins for 2026 essentially tied, trader sentiment hinges on incoming data and the October MPR for evidence of broadening pressures versus contained underlying trends.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$42,211Data di fine
18 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have kept oil prices and gasoline costs elevated, holding Canada's headline CPI near 3.0% year-over-year through August 2026 even as core measures (BoC trim and median) remain close to the 2% target and CPI excluding gasoline sits at 2.2-2.4%. Bank of Canada projections from the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate easing toward 2.5% in the second half of the year and 2% by early 2027, assuming normalization in energy prices and limited pass-through, though upside risks from persistent refinery margins, a weaker CAD, and potential US trade frictions have intensified. With the two leading annual inflation bins for 2026 essentially tied, trader sentiment hinges on incoming data and the October MPR for evidence of broadening pressures versus contained underlying trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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