Market-implied odds for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation favor the 30.0-34.9% range at 51%, narrowly ahead of 25-29.9% at 44%, reflecting trader consensus on continued disinflation. Recent INDEC data show July 2026 CPI at 33.8% year-over-year, down from 2025's 31.5% annual rate, supported by President Milei's fiscal surplus, spending cuts, and tighter monetary policy that have lowered price pressures from prior peaks. IMF projections center near 30.4% for the year, while analyst surveys anticipate further moderation toward 20% by year-end if growth stabilizes and FX flexibility persists. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly releases, potential rate adjustments, and any acceleration in relative-price corrections that could push outcomes toward the higher or lower band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoArgentina Inflazione annuale 2026
Argentina Inflazione annuale 2026
30.0-34.9% 51.0%
25-29.9% 44%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,151 Vol.
$41,151 Vol.
10 gen 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
44%
30.0-34.9%
51%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 51.0%
25-29.9% 44%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,151 Vol.
$41,151 Vol.
10 gen 2027
<20%
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,216 Vol.
2%
25-29.9%
$12,331 Vol.
44%
30.0-34.9%
$10,637 Vol.
51%
35–39.9%
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44.9%
$3,511 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Market-implied odds for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation favor the 30.0-34.9% range at 51%, narrowly ahead of 25-29.9% at 44%, reflecting trader consensus on continued disinflation. Recent INDEC data show July 2026 CPI at 33.8% year-over-year, down from 2025's 31.5% annual rate, supported by President Milei's fiscal surplus, spending cuts, and tighter monetary policy that have lowered price pressures from prior peaks. IMF projections center near 30.4% for the year, while analyst surveys anticipate further moderation toward 20% by year-end if growth stabilizes and FX flexibility persists. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly releases, potential rate adjustments, and any acceleration in relative-price corrections that could push outcomes toward the higher or lower band.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$41,151Data di fine
10 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Market-implied odds for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation favor the 30.0-34.9% range at 51%, narrowly ahead of 25-29.9% at 44%, reflecting trader consensus on continued disinflation. Recent INDEC data show July 2026 CPI at 33.8% year-over-year, down from 2025's 31.5% annual rate, supported by President Milei's fiscal surplus, spending cuts, and tighter monetary policy that have lowered price pressures from prior peaks. IMF projections center near 30.4% for the year, while analyst surveys anticipate further moderation toward 20% by year-end if growth stabilizes and FX flexibility persists. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly releases, potential rate adjustments, and any acceleration in relative-price corrections that could push outcomes toward the higher or lower band.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$41,151Data di fine
10 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Market-implied odds for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation favor the 30.0-34.9% range at 51%, narrowly ahead of 25-29.9% at 44%, reflecting trader consensus on continued disinflation. Recent INDEC data show July 2026 CPI at 33.8% year-over-year, down from 2025's 31.5% annual rate, supported by President Milei's fiscal surplus, spending cuts, and tighter monetary policy that have lowered price pressures from prior peaks. IMF projections center near 30.4% for the year, while analyst surveys anticipate further moderation toward 20% by year-end if growth stabilizes and FX flexibility persists. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly releases, potential rate adjustments, and any acceleration in relative-price corrections that could push outcomes toward the higher or lower band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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