Recent central bank surveys and July 2026 data releases show Argentina's year-over-year inflation at 33.8% with monthly prints near 2.1%, supporting analyst consensus for year-end inflation near 29.8–30.4% as fiscal discipline and exchange-rate stability extend the disinflation trend under current monetary policy. The closely matched market-implied odds—51.1% for 30.0–34.9% versus 44.0% for 25–29.9%—reflect uncertainty over price inertia, relative-price adjustments, and potential impacts from lower 2026 growth forecasts that could slow the pace of convergence. Upcoming INDEC releases and REM updates through September will provide key signals for shifts in trader positioning around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoArgentina Inflazione annuale 2026
Argentina Inflazione annuale 2026
30.0-34.9% 51.0%
25-29.9% 44%
20-24.9% 2.0%
45%+ 1.9%
$41,151 Vol.
$41,151 Vol.
10 gen 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
44%
30.0-34.9%
51%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 51.0%
25-29.9% 44%
20-24.9% 2.0%
45%+ 1.9%
$41,151 Vol.
$41,151 Vol.
10 gen 2027
<20%
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,216 Vol.
2%
25-29.9%
$12,331 Vol.
44%
30.0-34.9%
$10,637 Vol.
51%
35–39.9%
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44.9%
$3,511 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent central bank surveys and July 2026 data releases show Argentina's year-over-year inflation at 33.8% with monthly prints near 2.1%, supporting analyst consensus for year-end inflation near 29.8–30.4% as fiscal discipline and exchange-rate stability extend the disinflation trend under current monetary policy. The closely matched market-implied odds—51.1% for 30.0–34.9% versus 44.0% for 25–29.9%—reflect uncertainty over price inertia, relative-price adjustments, and potential impacts from lower 2026 growth forecasts that could slow the pace of convergence. Upcoming INDEC releases and REM updates through September will provide key signals for shifts in trader positioning around these thresholds.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$41,151Data di fine
10 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent central bank surveys and July 2026 data releases show Argentina's year-over-year inflation at 33.8% with monthly prints near 2.1%, supporting analyst consensus for year-end inflation near 29.8–30.4% as fiscal discipline and exchange-rate stability extend the disinflation trend under current monetary policy. The closely matched market-implied odds—51.1% for 30.0–34.9% versus 44.0% for 25–29.9%—reflect uncertainty over price inertia, relative-price adjustments, and potential impacts from lower 2026 growth forecasts that could slow the pace of convergence. Upcoming INDEC releases and REM updates through September will provide key signals for shifts in trader positioning around these thresholds.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$41,151Data di fine
10 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent central bank surveys and July 2026 data releases show Argentina's year-over-year inflation at 33.8% with monthly prints near 2.1%, supporting analyst consensus for year-end inflation near 29.8–30.4% as fiscal discipline and exchange-rate stability extend the disinflation trend under current monetary policy. The closely matched market-implied odds—51.1% for 30.0–34.9% versus 44.0% for 25–29.9%—reflect uncertainty over price inertia, relative-price adjustments, and potential impacts from lower 2026 growth forecasts that could slow the pace of convergence. Upcoming INDEC releases and REM updates through September will provide key signals for shifts in trader positioning around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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