Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in a fragmented range, with the 30.0-34.9% bucket leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes reflecting uncertainty over President Milei's disinflation path. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.4% monthly—the year's highest—pushing annual rates to 32.6% year-over-year, driven by fuel price surges from the Iran-induced energy shock and education cost pass-through, exceeding forecasts and prompting central bank analysts to lift their 2026 projection to 29.1%. Reuters poll medians hold at 30%, balancing fiscal austerity's downward pressure against regulated price inertia. April CPI data, due mid-May, and Q2 trends will be pivotal swing factors for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoArgentina Annual Inflation 2026
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
25-29.9% 15%
35–39.9% 13.8%
<20% 13.6%
<20%
8%
20-24.9%
14%
25-29.9%
15%
30.0-34.9%
22%
35–39.9%
14%
40-44.9%
13%
45%+
6%
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
25-29.9% 15%
35–39.9% 13.8%
<20% 13.6%
<20%
8%
20-24.9%
14%
25-29.9%
15%
30.0-34.9%
22%
35–39.9%
14%
40-44.9%
13%
45%+
6%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in a fragmented range, with the 30.0-34.9% bucket leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes reflecting uncertainty over President Milei's disinflation path. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.4% monthly—the year's highest—pushing annual rates to 32.6% year-over-year, driven by fuel price surges from the Iran-induced energy shock and education cost pass-through, exceeding forecasts and prompting central bank analysts to lift their 2026 projection to 29.1%. Reuters poll medians hold at 30%, balancing fiscal austerity's downward pressure against regulated price inertia. April CPI data, due mid-May, and Q2 trends will be pivotal swing factors for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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