South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market shows the strongest trader consensus around a 3.0%+ outcome at 41.9% implied probability, reflecting persistent cost pressures and accelerating demand-side forces. Recent data revealed headline CPI rising to 3.1% year-over-year in August from 2.8% in July, with core inflation (excluding food and energy) surging to 3.4%, its fastest pace since 2023, driven by service fees, petroleum products, and pass-through from earlier energy shocks tied to Middle East tensions. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25-basis-point hikes in July and August lifted the policy rate to 3.0%, while revising 2026 GDP growth upward to 3.3% on semiconductor-led exports and stronger domestic demand; official CPI projections remain at 2.7%, though core forecasts were lifted to 2.5%. September inflation prints and any further monetary policy signals will likely influence near-term repricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoInflazione annuale della Corea del Sud 2026
3,0%+ 41.9%
2,7% a 2,9% 20.9%
2,1% a 2,3% 9.1%
2,4% a 2,6% 8.8%
$45,104 Vol.
$45,104 Vol.
<1,5%
5%
1,5% a 1,7%
6%
1,8% a 2,0%
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
9%
2,4% a 2,6%
9%
2,7% a 2,9%
21%
3,0%+
42%
3,0%+ 41.9%
2,7% a 2,9% 20.9%
2,1% a 2,3% 9.1%
2,4% a 2,6% 8.8%
$45,104 Vol.
$45,104 Vol.
<1,5%
5%
1,5% a 1,7%
6%
1,8% a 2,0%
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
9%
2,4% a 2,6%
9%
2,7% a 2,9%
21%
3,0%+
42%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market shows the strongest trader consensus around a 3.0%+ outcome at 41.9% implied probability, reflecting persistent cost pressures and accelerating demand-side forces. Recent data revealed headline CPI rising to 3.1% year-over-year in August from 2.8% in July, with core inflation (excluding food and energy) surging to 3.4%, its fastest pace since 2023, driven by service fees, petroleum products, and pass-through from earlier energy shocks tied to Middle East tensions. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25-basis-point hikes in July and August lifted the policy rate to 3.0%, while revising 2026 GDP growth upward to 3.3% on semiconductor-led exports and stronger domestic demand; official CPI projections remain at 2.7%, though core forecasts were lifted to 2.5%. September inflation prints and any further monetary policy signals will likely influence near-term repricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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