Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the $2.25–2.50/dozen range for April 2026 U.S. retail eggs at a 59.5% implied probability, reflecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' March average of $2.35—down 6.1% from February's $2.50—as supply normalizes following 2025 avian influenza outbreaks that culled millions of hens. USDA's April 10 Egg Markets Overview reports steady wholesale undertones with ample stocks and promotional activity pushing advertised prices to $1.70/dozen, supporting expectations of modest retail stabilization post-Easter demand on April 5. The next $2.00–2.25 bin at 23.5% captures downside risks from continued production rebounds, ahead of the BLS April data release around May 12. Overall, year-over-year declines exceed 50%, underscoring market-implied recovery dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrice of Dozen Eggs in April?
Price of Dozen Eggs in April?
$2.25–2.50 60%
$2.00–2.25 24%
$2.50–2.75 10%
$1.75–2.00 5%
<$1.75
3%
$1.75–2.00
5%
$2.00–2.25
24%
$2.25–2.50
60%
$2.50–2.75
10%
$2.75–3.00
4%
$3.00–3.25
2%
$3.25–3.50
2%
$3.50–3.75
1%
≥$3.75
2%
$2.25–2.50 60%
$2.00–2.25 24%
$2.50–2.75 10%
$1.75–2.00 5%
<$1.75
3%
$1.75–2.00
5%
$2.00–2.25
24%
$2.25–2.50
60%
$2.50–2.75
10%
$2.75–3.00
4%
$3.00–3.25
2%
$3.25–3.50
2%
$3.50–3.75
1%
≥$3.75
2%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Mercato aperto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the $2.25–2.50/dozen range for April 2026 U.S. retail eggs at a 59.5% implied probability, reflecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' March average of $2.35—down 6.1% from February's $2.50—as supply normalizes following 2025 avian influenza outbreaks that culled millions of hens. USDA's April 10 Egg Markets Overview reports steady wholesale undertones with ample stocks and promotional activity pushing advertised prices to $1.70/dozen, supporting expectations of modest retail stabilization post-Easter demand on April 5. The next $2.00–2.25 bin at 23.5% captures downside risks from continued production rebounds, ahead of the BLS April data release around May 12. Overall, year-over-year declines exceed 50%, underscoring market-implied recovery dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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