Recent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader sentiment for the 2026 annual outcome amid a divided distribution of market-implied odds. Weak Q1 GDP contraction and subdued growth forecasts below 1% have widened economic slack, supporting further disinflation, yet persistent core pressures around 4% and external risks from geopolitics and fiscal consolidation keep upside scenarios competitive. Banxico’s May cut to a 6.50% policy rate, likely concluding the easing cycle, and economist surveys projecting 3.9-4.35% reinforce the contest between sub-4% and higher bands, with no single outcome exceeding 27% implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMessico Inflazione annuale 2026
Messico Inflazione annuale 2026
4,50% a 4,99% 21%
4,00% a 4,49% 19%
3,50% a 3,99% 16.5%
5,00% a 5,49% 9.8%
$42,274 Vol.
$42,274 Vol.
8 gen 2027
<2,50%
5%
2,50% a 2,99%
31%
3,00% a 3,49%
1%
3,50% a 3,99%
16%
4,00% a 4,49%
19%
4,50% a 4,99%
21%
5,00% a 5,49%
10%
5,50%+
24%
4,50% a 4,99% 21%
4,00% a 4,49% 19%
3,50% a 3,99% 16.5%
5,00% a 5,49% 9.8%
$42,274 Vol.
$42,274 Vol.
8 gen 2027
<2,50%
$576 Vol.
5%
2,50% a 2,99%
$4,369 Vol.
31%
3,00% a 3,49%
$26,029 Vol.
1%
3,50% a 3,99%
$458 Vol.
16%
4,00% a 4,49%
$619 Vol.
19%
4,50% a 4,99%
$3,668 Vol.
21%
5,00% a 5,49%
$1,456 Vol.
10%
5,50%+
$5,099 Vol.
24%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader sentiment for the 2026 annual outcome amid a divided distribution of market-implied odds. Weak Q1 GDP contraction and subdued growth forecasts below 1% have widened economic slack, supporting further disinflation, yet persistent core pressures around 4% and external risks from geopolitics and fiscal consolidation keep upside scenarios competitive. Banxico’s May cut to a 6.50% policy rate, likely concluding the easing cycle, and economist surveys projecting 3.9-4.35% reinforce the contest between sub-4% and higher bands, with no single outcome exceeding 27% implied probability.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Mercato aperto: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$42,274Data di fine
8 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader sentiment for the 2026 annual outcome amid a divided distribution of market-implied odds. Weak Q1 GDP contraction and subdued growth forecasts below 1% have widened economic slack, supporting further disinflation, yet persistent core pressures around 4% and external risks from geopolitics and fiscal consolidation keep upside scenarios competitive. Banxico’s May cut to a 6.50% policy rate, likely concluding the easing cycle, and economist surveys projecting 3.9-4.35% reinforce the contest between sub-4% and higher bands, with no single outcome exceeding 27% implied probability.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$42,274Data di fine
8 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader sentiment for the 2026 annual outcome amid a divided distribution of market-implied odds. Weak Q1 GDP contraction and subdued growth forecasts below 1% have widened economic slack, supporting further disinflation, yet persistent core pressures around 4% and external risks from geopolitics and fiscal consolidation keep upside scenarios competitive. Banxico’s May cut to a 6.50% policy rate, likely concluding the easing cycle, and economist surveys projecting 3.9-4.35% reinforce the contest between sub-4% and higher bands, with no single outcome exceeding 27% implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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