Recent fuel price surges from geopolitical tensions have driven South African inflation to 4.4% in August 2026, prompting the South African Reserve Bank to hike its policy rate 25 basis points to 7.25% on September 23. The central bank now projects average headline inflation at 4.4% for 2026, with risks of exceeding 5% later this year and into early 2027 before easing toward the 3% target by late 2027. Resilient rand exchange rates and subdued food inflation have tempered some pressures, yet services and energy components remain elevated. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with closely contested odds between the 4.4-4.7% and above-5% ranges amid upcoming October CPI data and the November MPC meeting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato4,4-4,7% 34.1%
>5,0% 32.6%
4,7-5,0% 32.4%
4,1-4,4% 2.7%
$66,754 Vol.
$66,754 Vol.
19 gen 2027
<2,6%
1%
2,6-2,9%
1%
2,9-3,2%
1%
3,2-3,5%
1%
3,5-3,8%
1%
3,8-4,1%
1%
4,1-4,4%
3%
4,4-4,7%
34%
4,7-5,0%
32%
>5,0%
33%
4,4-4,7% 34.1%
>5,0% 32.6%
4,7-5,0% 32.4%
4,1-4,4% 2.7%
$66,754 Vol.
$66,754 Vol.
19 gen 2027
<2,6%
$1,994 Vol.
1%
2,6-2,9%
$2,389 Vol.
1%
2,9-3,2%
$2,089 Vol.
1%
3,2-3,5%
$2,140 Vol.
1%
3,5-3,8%
$2,363 Vol.
1%
3,8-4,1%
$4,002 Vol.
1%
4,1-4,4%
$4,625 Vol.
3%
4,4-4,7%
$22,350 Vol.
34%
4,7-5,0%
$9,688 Vol.
32%
>5,0%
$15,114 Vol.
33%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent fuel price surges from geopolitical tensions have driven South African inflation to 4.4% in August 2026, prompting the South African Reserve Bank to hike its policy rate 25 basis points to 7.25% on September 23. The central bank now projects average headline inflation at 4.4% for 2026, with risks of exceeding 5% later this year and into early 2027 before easing toward the 3% target by late 2027. Resilient rand exchange rates and subdued food inflation have tempered some pressures, yet services and energy components remain elevated. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with closely contested odds between the 4.4-4.7% and above-5% ranges amid upcoming October CPI data and the November MPC meeting.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Mercato aperto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$66,754Data di fine
21 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRisolutore
0x2f5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent fuel price surges from geopolitical tensions have driven South African inflation to 4.4% in August 2026, prompting the South African Reserve Bank to hike its policy rate 25 basis points to 7.25% on September 23. The central bank now projects average headline inflation at 4.4% for 2026, with risks of exceeding 5% later this year and into early 2027 before easing toward the 3% target by late 2027. Resilient rand exchange rates and subdued food inflation have tempered some pressures, yet services and energy components remain elevated. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with closely contested odds between the 4.4-4.7% and above-5% ranges amid upcoming October CPI data and the November MPC meeting.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volume
$66,754Data di fine
21 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRisolutore
0x2f5e3684c...Recent fuel price surges from geopolitical tensions have driven South African inflation to 4.4% in August 2026, prompting the South African Reserve Bank to hike its policy rate 25 basis points to 7.25% on September 23. The central bank now projects average headline inflation at 4.4% for 2026, with risks of exceeding 5% later this year and into early 2027 before easing toward the 3% target by late 2027. Resilient rand exchange rates and subdued food inflation have tempered some pressures, yet services and energy components remain elevated. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with closely contested odds between the 4.4-4.7% and above-5% ranges amid upcoming October CPI data and the November MPC meeting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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