The tight clustering of probabilities around 50% for Karmine Corp, FUT Esports, Team Liquid, Team Vitality, and related outcomes reflects balanced trader views on which EMEA squad faces the highest elimination risk in the Shanghai group stage. All four qualified via strong VCT EMEA Stage 2 showings or Championship Points, yet each lands in a mixed group against proven international sides with no regional matchups. KC enters with recent regional momentum but limited prior Champions experience, while Liquid brings more stage history alongside FUT and Vitality’s inconsistent late-season form. Double-elimination GSL brackets and best-of-three opening matches amplify the potential for early upsets across the field, sustaining the even distribution of implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKarmine Corp 98%
Team Liquid 98%
FUT Esports 98%
Team Vitality 98%

Karmine Corp
98%

Team Liquid
98%

FUT Esports
98%

Team Vitality
98%
Karmine Corp 98%
Team Liquid 98%
FUT Esports 98%
Team Vitality 98%

Karmine Corp
98%

Team Liquid
98%

FUT Esports
98%

Team Vitality
98%
For the purposes of this market, the EMEA teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT EMEA league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, and Team Vitality. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more EMEA teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no EMEA team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first EMEA team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://valorantesports.comRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...For the purposes of this market, the EMEA teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT EMEA league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, and Team Vitality. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more EMEA teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no EMEA team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first EMEA team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://valorantesports.comRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...The tight clustering of probabilities around 50% for Karmine Corp, FUT Esports, Team Liquid, Team Vitality, and related outcomes reflects balanced trader views on which EMEA squad faces the highest elimination risk in the Shanghai group stage. All four qualified via strong VCT EMEA Stage 2 showings or Championship Points, yet each lands in a mixed group against proven international sides with no regional matchups. KC enters with recent regional momentum but limited prior Champions experience, while Liquid brings more stage history alongside FUT and Vitality’s inconsistent late-season form. Double-elimination GSL brackets and best-of-three opening matches amplify the potential for early upsets across the field, sustaining the even distribution of implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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