Several states enacted mid-decade congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterms following calls for partisan advantage, with Republicans securing changes in Texas, Florida, Alabama, Louisiana, Tennessee, Missouri (initially), North Carolina, and Ohio, while Democrats advanced a new map in California. Supreme Court rulings on Voting Rights Act claims enabled several Southern redraws that reduced majority-minority districts. Recent litigation has produced mixed results: Missouri’s new map was blocked by the Supreme Court on September 10, restoring the 2022 lines for the November general election after primaries used revised boundaries, while Florida’s map faces ongoing challenges. Primary dates, candidate filings, and final court orders in the coming weeks will determine which states ultimately deploy updated district lines for the general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$409,961 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
<1%
Virginia
4%
Alabama
87%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
4%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
4%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
$409,961 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
<1%
Virginia
4%
Alabama
87%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
4%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
4%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Several states enacted mid-decade congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterms following calls for partisan advantage, with Republicans securing changes in Texas, Florida, Alabama, Louisiana, Tennessee, Missouri (initially), North Carolina, and Ohio, while Democrats advanced a new map in California. Supreme Court rulings on Voting Rights Act claims enabled several Southern redraws that reduced majority-minority districts. Recent litigation has produced mixed results: Missouri’s new map was blocked by the Supreme Court on September 10, restoring the 2022 lines for the November general election after primaries used revised boundaries, while Florida’s map faces ongoing challenges. Primary dates, candidate filings, and final court orders in the coming weeks will determine which states ultimately deploy updated district lines for the general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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