Carlos Ulberg leads trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability to hold the UFC Light Heavyweight title through year's end after capturing the belt with a stunning first-round KO over Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11, capping a dominant five-fight win streak including victories over Dominick Reyes, Jan Błachowicz, and Volkan Oezdemir. Bogdan Guskov (29.5%) gains traction from his near-perfect run, highlighted by a gritty majority draw with Błachowicz in December 2025 and prior stoppage of Nikita Krylov, positioning him as a stylistic threat for contention. Magomed Ankalaev (23.6%) remains a top-ranked grappler despite losses to ex-champ Alex Pereira in 2025, with his July Abu Dhabi return fueling upset potential amid Ulberg's unproven defenses and the vacated Pereira era. Reyes' resurgence adds volatility at 17.5%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCarlos Ulberg 45%
Bogdan Guskov 29.3%
Dominick Reyes 11.2%
Jiří Procházka 5.7%
$17,196 Vol.
$17,196 Vol.
Carlos Ulberg
45%
Bogdan Guskov
29%
Dominick Reyes
18%
Jiří Procházka
6%
Magomed Ankalaev
24%
Alex Pereira
10%
Azamat Murzakanov
3%
Khalil Rountree Jr.
1%
Volkan Oezdemir
1%
Jamahal Hill
6%
Jan Błachowicz
1%
Carlos Ulberg 45%
Bogdan Guskov 29.3%
Dominick Reyes 11.2%
Jiří Procházka 5.7%
$17,196 Vol.
$17,196 Vol.
Carlos Ulberg
45%
Bogdan Guskov
29%
Dominick Reyes
18%
Jiří Procházka
6%
Magomed Ankalaev
24%
Alex Pereira
10%
Azamat Murzakanov
3%
Khalil Rountree Jr.
1%
Volkan Oezdemir
1%
Jamahal Hill
6%
Jan Błachowicz
1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Ulberg leads trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability to hold the UFC Light Heavyweight title through year's end after capturing the belt with a stunning first-round KO over Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11, capping a dominant five-fight win streak including victories over Dominick Reyes, Jan Błachowicz, and Volkan Oezdemir. Bogdan Guskov (29.5%) gains traction from his near-perfect run, highlighted by a gritty majority draw with Błachowicz in December 2025 and prior stoppage of Nikita Krylov, positioning him as a stylistic threat for contention. Magomed Ankalaev (23.6%) remains a top-ranked grappler despite losses to ex-champ Alex Pereira in 2025, with his July Abu Dhabi return fueling upset potential amid Ulberg's unproven defenses and the vacated Pereira era. Reyes' resurgence adds volatility at 17.5%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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