Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking holds a commanding Elo lead on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena text leaderboard with style control off, driving 100% trader consensus as the best AI model on April 24, 2026. Launched in February 2026, this large language model variant surged to the top via thousands of crowd-sourced user battles, demonstrating superior reasoning and response quality without stylistic biases. Despite April releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview topping other benchmarks, it retains dominance here, reflecting aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital. Proximity to resolution limits shifts, but a last-minute superior model drop or battle data surge could challenge it.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日claude-opus-4-6-thinking 100.0%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking <1%
claude-opus-4-7 <1%
muse-spark <1%
$46,409 Vol.
$46,409 Vol.
2026/04/24
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
Yes
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
No
claude-opus-4-7
No
muse-spark
No
Other
No
claude-opus-4-6
No
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
No
gemini-3-pro
No
gpt-5.4-high
No
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 100.0%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking <1%
claude-opus-4-7 <1%
muse-spark <1%
$46,409 Vol.
$46,409 Vol.
2026/04/24
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$14,076 Vol.
Yes
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
$12,873 Vol.
No
claude-opus-4-7
$1,813 Vol.
No
muse-spark
$912 Vol.
No
Other
$8,404 Vol.
No
claude-opus-4-6
$4,518 Vol.
No
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
$1,218 Vol.
No
gemini-3-pro
$836 Vol.
No
gpt-5.4-high
$1,759 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking holds a commanding Elo lead on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena text leaderboard with style control off, driving 100% trader consensus as the best AI model on April 24, 2026. Launched in February 2026, this large language model variant surged to the top via thousands of crowd-sourced user battles, demonstrating superior reasoning and response quality without stylistic biases. Despite April releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview topping other benchmarks, it retains dominance here, reflecting aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital. Proximity to resolution limits shifts, but a last-minute superior model drop or battle data surge could challenge it.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 20, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
音量
$46,409終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking holds a commanding Elo lead on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena text leaderboard with style control off, driving 100% trader consensus as the best AI model on April 24, 2026. Launched in February 2026, this large language model variant surged to the top via thousands of crowd-sourced user battles, demonstrating superior reasoning and response quality without stylistic biases. Despite April releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview topping other benchmarks, it retains dominance here, reflecting aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital. Proximity to resolution limits shifts, but a last-minute superior model drop or battle data surge could challenge it.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$46,409終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking holds a commanding Elo lead on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena text leaderboard with style control off, driving 100% trader consensus as the best AI model on April 24, 2026. Launched in February 2026, this large language model variant surged to the top via thousands of crowd-sourced user battles, demonstrating superior reasoning and response quality without stylistic biases. Despite April releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview topping other benchmarks, it retains dominance here, reflecting aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital. Proximity to resolution limits shifts, but a last-minute superior model drop or battle data surge could challenge it.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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