In California's 32nd Congressional District, a heavily Democratic area with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, the June 2, 2026, top-two primary determines which two candidates advance to the November general election. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman holds a strong position due to his extensive fundraising advantage, established endorsements from state Democratic organizations, and record of consistent reelection. Multiple Democratic challengers, including Jake Levine, Marena Lin, and Josh Sautter, along with Republican Larry Thompson—who received the California Republican Party endorsement—are competing for the second spot. With the primary just days away, low early turnout among younger voters and standard incumbent advantages in a low-contest environment remain key factors shaping outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Brad Sherman
94%
Larry Thompson
66%
Jake Levine
28%
Marena Lin
18%
Chris Ahuja
14%
Anna Wilding
13%
Dory Benami
11%
Josh Sautter
11%
Doug Smith
11%
$1,036 Vol.
Brad Sherman
94%
Larry Thompson
66%
Jake Levine
28%
Marena Lin
18%
Chris Ahuja
14%
Anna Wilding
13%
Dory Benami
11%
Josh Sautter
11%
Doug Smith
11%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In California's 32nd Congressional District, a heavily Democratic area with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, the June 2, 2026, top-two primary determines which two candidates advance to the November general election. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman holds a strong position due to his extensive fundraising advantage, established endorsements from state Democratic organizations, and record of consistent reelection. Multiple Democratic challengers, including Jake Levine, Marena Lin, and Josh Sautter, along with Republican Larry Thompson—who received the California Republican Party endorsement—are competing for the second spot. With the primary just days away, low early turnout among younger voters and standard incumbent advantages in a low-contest environment remain key factors shaping outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問