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icon for GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Amanda Hollowell 97.8%

Defonsio Daniels <1%

Joseph Palimeno <1%

Patrick Wilver <1%

Polymarket

$9,839 Vol.

Amanda Hollowell 97.8%

Defonsio Daniels <1%

Joseph Palimeno <1%

Patrick Wilver <1%

Polymarket

$9,839 Vol.

Defonsio Daniels

$762 Vol.

No

Amanda Hollowell

$1,473 Vol.

Yes

Joseph Palimeno

$884 Vol.

No

Patrick Wilver

$1,079 Vol.

No

Joyce Marie Griggs

$694 Vol.

No

Michael McCord

$3,318 Vol.

No

Sharon Stokes-Williamson

$733 Vol.

No

Randy Zurcher

$896 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Amanda Hollowell secured a narrow victory in the June 16 Democratic runoff for Georgia’s 1st Congressional District, defeating Joyce Marie Griggs by roughly 53 percent to 47 percent after advancing from the May primary. Her position reflects stronger grassroots mobilization, a broader coalition of endorsements from progressive organizations and local leaders, and effective turnout efforts in key coastal counties. Traders assign Hollowell overwhelming probability as the nominee because vote tallies are largely reported and she has been called the winner by major outlets, leaving limited room for reversal absent an official contest or certification dispute. A successful recount petition or legal challenge from the opposing campaign could theoretically alter the outcome before final certification, though historical patterns in similar low-turnout Georgia runoffs indicate such reversals remain rare.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$9,839
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Amanda Hollowell secured a narrow victory in the June 16 Democratic runoff for Georgia’s 1st Congressional District, defeating Joyce Marie Griggs by roughly 53 percent to 47 percent after advancing from the May primary. Her position reflects stronger grassroots mobilization, a broader coalition of endorsements from progressive organizations and local leaders, and effective turnout efforts in key coastal counties. Traders assign Hollowell overwhelming probability as the nominee because vote tallies are largely reported and she has been called the winner by major outlets, leaving limited room for reversal absent an official contest or certification dispute. A successful recount petition or legal challenge from the opposing campaign could theoretically alter the outcome before final certification, though historical patterns in similar low-turnout Georgia runoffs indicate such reversals remain rare.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$9,839
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Amanda Hollowell」で100%、次いで「Defonsio Daniels」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Amanda Hollowell」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Defonsio Daniels」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。