Early polling from May 2026 showed only 39% support for Proposition 43, with sharp partisan splits reflecting resistance among voters who back local funding measures for services. The legislatively referred constitutional amendment, advanced in late June after compromise on a withdrawn initiative, would impose a two-thirds threshold on citizen-initiated special taxes starting in 2027 while preserving the existing supermajority rule for government-referred measures. Opposition from transit, housing, and education advocates highlights concerns over blocked revenue options, whereas taxpayer groups emphasize protection against frequent local tax hikes. This dynamic underpins the market's lean toward rejection ahead of the November vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
39% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
39% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).Early polling from May 2026 showed only 39% support for Proposition 43, with sharp partisan splits reflecting resistance among voters who back local funding measures for services. The legislatively referred constitutional amendment, advanced in late June after compromise on a withdrawn initiative, would impose a two-thirds threshold on citizen-initiated special taxes starting in 2027 while preserving the existing supermajority rule for government-referred measures. Opposition from transit, housing, and education advocates highlights concerns over blocked revenue options, whereas taxpayer groups emphasize protection against frequent local tax hikes. This dynamic underpins the market's lean toward rejection ahead of the November vote.
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
音量
$3,067終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).Early polling from May 2026 showed only 39% support for Proposition 43, with sharp partisan splits reflecting resistance among voters who back local funding measures for services. The legislatively referred constitutional amendment, advanced in late June after compromise on a withdrawn initiative, would impose a two-thirds threshold on citizen-initiated special taxes starting in 2027 while preserving the existing supermajority rule for government-referred measures. Opposition from transit, housing, and education advocates highlights concerns over blocked revenue options, whereas taxpayer groups emphasize protection against frequent local tax hikes. This dynamic underpins the market's lean toward rejection ahead of the November vote.
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
音量
$3,067終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Early polling from May 2026 showed only 39% support for Proposition 43, with sharp partisan splits reflecting resistance among voters who back local funding measures for services. The legislatively referred constitutional amendment, advanced in late June after compromise on a withdrawn initiative, would impose a two-thirds threshold on citizen-initiated special taxes starting in 2027 while preserving the existing supermajority rule for government-referred measures. Opposition from transit, housing, and education advocates highlights concerns over blocked revenue options, whereas taxpayer groups emphasize protection against frequent local tax hikes. This dynamic underpins the market's lean toward rejection ahead of the November vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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