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icon for NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner
政治·中間選考

NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner
政治·中間選考

NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner

新規
Polymarket
新規

LaMonica McIver

$884 Vol.

96%

Lawrence Poster

$654 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 Democratic primary as the incumbent who won the 2024 special election to succeed the late Donald Payne Jr. All three county Democratic organizations and the New Jersey Working Families Party have endorsed her ahead of the June 2 primary, while challenger Lawrence Poster remains a low-profile newcomer with minimal public profile or institutional backing. Trader consensus at 96% for McIver reflects this institutional and incumbency advantage in the heavily Democratic district. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high challenger turnout or late developments affecting voter mobilization before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,538
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 Democratic primary as the incumbent who won the 2024 special election to succeed the late Donald Payne Jr. All three county Democratic organizations and the New Jersey Working Families Party have endorsed her ahead of the June 2 primary, while challenger Lawrence Poster remains a low-profile newcomer with minimal public profile or institutional backing. Trader consensus at 96% for McIver reflects this institutional and incumbency advantage in the heavily Democratic district. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high challenger turnout or late developments affecting voter mobilization before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,538
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「LaMonica McIver」で96%、次いで「Lawrence Poster」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 20, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「LaMonica McIver」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Lawrence Poster」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。