Trader consensus in the GA-11 Republican primary reflects a fragmented field with no clear frontrunner, as Rob Adkerson, Chris Mora, and Tricia Pridemore cluster around 33% implied probabilities amid scant recent polling. This tightness stems from competitive FEC fundraising—Pridemore leads slightly with over $300,000 raised, followed closely by Mora and Adkerson—and overlapping conservative profiles appealing to the district's Trump-aligned voters north of Atlanta. Absent dominant endorsements or January 6-related baggage for challengers, the race remains fluid. Separation could arise from late Trump or Gaetz backing, strong early voting turnout data, or a May 21 debate standout, with skin-in-the-game traders pricing high uncertainty ahead of the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
Chris Mora 35%
Rob Adkerson 33%
Tricia Pridemore 32%
Lisa Carlquist 19%
Chris Mora
35%
Rob Adkerson
33%
Tricia Pridemore
32%
Lisa Carlquist
19%
John Hobbs
18%
William Brown
18%
John Cowan
18%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
17%
Chris Mora 35%
Rob Adkerson 33%
Tricia Pridemore 32%
Lisa Carlquist 19%
Chris Mora
35%
Rob Adkerson
33%
Tricia Pridemore
32%
Lisa Carlquist
19%
John Hobbs
18%
William Brown
18%
John Cowan
18%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
17%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the GA-11 Republican primary reflects a fragmented field with no clear frontrunner, as Rob Adkerson, Chris Mora, and Tricia Pridemore cluster around 33% implied probabilities amid scant recent polling. This tightness stems from competitive FEC fundraising—Pridemore leads slightly with over $300,000 raised, followed closely by Mora and Adkerson—and overlapping conservative profiles appealing to the district's Trump-aligned voters north of Atlanta. Absent dominant endorsements or January 6-related baggage for challengers, the race remains fluid. Separation could arise from late Trump or Gaetz backing, strong early voting turnout data, or a May 21 debate standout, with skin-in-the-game traders pricing high uncertainty ahead of the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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