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Elections·Primaries

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Claire Valdez 100.0%

Antonio Reynoso <1%

Kristen Gonzalez <1%

Julie Won <1%

Polymarket

$431,533 Vol.

Claire Valdez 100.0%

Antonio Reynoso <1%

Kristen Gonzalez <1%

Julie Won <1%

Polymarket

$431,533 Vol.

Antonio Reynoso

$146,478 Vol.

No

Kristen Gonzalez

$27,790 Vol.

No

Julie Won

$17,156 Vol.

No

Lincoln Restler

$8,809 Vol.

No

Claire Valdez

$175,662 Vol.

Yes

Julia Salazar

$8,178 Vol.

No

Jennifer Gútierrez

$27,213 Vol.

No

Sandy Nurse

$10,169 Vol.

No

Tiffany Cabán

$10,078 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez leads the NY-07 Democratic primary with an 80% implied probability, driven by recent endorsements including from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, stronger fundraising, and positive early voting reports just days before the June 23 contest. A May Emerson poll showed her narrowly ahead of Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso at 23% to 21% with 43% undecided, but trader pricing reflects her consolidation of support among younger voters and progressive networks in the district. Reynoso holds steady backing in parts of Brooklyn but trails significantly. Other candidates including Julie Won remain at negligible levels following the June 3 debate among the top three contenders. The compressed timeline leaves limited room for major shifts absent late developments.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$431,533
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez leads the NY-07 Democratic primary with an 80% implied probability, driven by recent endorsements including from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, stronger fundraising, and positive early voting reports just days before the June 23 contest. A May Emerson poll showed her narrowly ahead of Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso at 23% to 21% with 43% undecided, but trader pricing reflects her consolidation of support among younger voters and progressive networks in the district. Reynoso holds steady backing in parts of Brooklyn but trails significantly. Other candidates including Julie Won remain at negligible levels following the June 3 debate among the top three contenders. The compressed timeline leaves limited room for major shifts absent late developments.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$431,533
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Claire Valdez」で100%、次いで「Antonio Reynoso」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner」は$431.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Claire Valdez」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Antonio Reynoso」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。