The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, a legislatively referred constitutional measure on the November 3, 2026 ballot, cleared final legislative approval in early 2026 along party lines after initial passage the prior year, reflecting sustained Democratic majorities in the General Assembly. Early 2026 polling showed 61-66% support for enshrining protections for abortion access, contraception, prenatal care, and related decisions with third-trimester limits permitted under narrow health exceptions. Trader consensus at 90.5% for passage stems from this legislative momentum, Virginia's existing statutory framework for reproductive care, and the low bar of a simple majority requirement, with limited recent shifts from stalled legal challenges to ballot language. Potential late factors include turnout dynamics in the midterm environment or post-election court actions if approved, though no major developments have altered positioning in the past 30 days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
91% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/02
はい
91% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/02
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, a legislatively referred constitutional measure on the November 3, 2026 ballot, cleared final legislative approval in early 2026 along party lines after initial passage the prior year, reflecting sustained Democratic majorities in the General Assembly. Early 2026 polling showed 61-66% support for enshrining protections for abortion access, contraception, prenatal care, and related decisions with third-trimester limits permitted under narrow health exceptions. Trader consensus at 90.5% for passage stems from this legislative momentum, Virginia's existing statutory framework for reproductive care, and the low bar of a simple majority requirement, with limited recent shifts from stalled legal challenges to ballot language. Potential late factors include turnout dynamics in the midterm environment or post-election court actions if approved, though no major developments have altered positioning in the past 30 days.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
音量
$1,542終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, a legislatively referred constitutional measure on the November 3, 2026 ballot, cleared final legislative approval in early 2026 along party lines after initial passage the prior year, reflecting sustained Democratic majorities in the General Assembly. Early 2026 polling showed 61-66% support for enshrining protections for abortion access, contraception, prenatal care, and related decisions with third-trimester limits permitted under narrow health exceptions. Trader consensus at 90.5% for passage stems from this legislative momentum, Virginia's existing statutory framework for reproductive care, and the low bar of a simple majority requirement, with limited recent shifts from stalled legal challenges to ballot language. Potential late factors include turnout dynamics in the midterm environment or post-election court actions if approved, though no major developments have altered positioning in the past 30 days.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
音量
$1,542終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, a legislatively referred constitutional measure on the November 3, 2026 ballot, cleared final legislative approval in early 2026 along party lines after initial passage the prior year, reflecting sustained Democratic majorities in the General Assembly. Early 2026 polling showed 61-66% support for enshrining protections for abortion access, contraception, prenatal care, and related decisions with third-trimester limits permitted under narrow health exceptions. Trader consensus at 90.5% for passage stems from this legislative momentum, Virginia's existing statutory framework for reproductive care, and the low bar of a simple majority requirement, with limited recent shifts from stalled legal challenges to ballot language. Potential late factors include turnout dynamics in the midterm environment or post-election court actions if approved, though no major developments have altered positioning in the past 30 days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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