Kathy Hochul enters the November 2026 general election as the clear frontrunner due to New York’s strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent, and the absence of a competitive Republican primary after higher-profile challengers withdrew. Recent Siena polling shows her holding double-digit leads over Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, supported by her fundraising edge, endorsements from party figures including progressives, and emphasis on affordability measures such as child care expansions and insurance cost controls. Blakeman has focused attacks on state spending and public safety while navigating ties to national Republican priorities. With probabilities above 90 percent, the market consensus reflects structural advantages and polling trends, though late developments including major scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout changes could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$112,273 Vol.
$112,273 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャシー・ホークル（民主党）
95%
ブルース・ブレイクマン（共和党）
6%
$112,273 Vol.
$112,273 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャシー・ホークル（民主党）
$49,697 Vol.
95%
ブルース・ブレイクマン（共和党）
$62,575 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul enters the November 2026 general election as the clear frontrunner due to New York’s strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent, and the absence of a competitive Republican primary after higher-profile challengers withdrew. Recent Siena polling shows her holding double-digit leads over Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, supported by her fundraising edge, endorsements from party figures including progressives, and emphasis on affordability measures such as child care expansions and insurance cost controls. Blakeman has focused attacks on state spending and public safety while navigating ties to national Republican priorities. With probabilities above 90 percent, the market consensus reflects structural advantages and polling trends, though late developments including major scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout changes could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
音量
$112,273終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul enters the November 2026 general election as the clear frontrunner due to New York’s strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent, and the absence of a competitive Republican primary after higher-profile challengers withdrew. Recent Siena polling shows her holding double-digit leads over Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, supported by her fundraising edge, endorsements from party figures including progressives, and emphasis on affordability measures such as child care expansions and insurance cost controls. Blakeman has focused attacks on state spending and public safety while navigating ties to national Republican priorities. With probabilities above 90 percent, the market consensus reflects structural advantages and polling trends, though late developments including major scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout changes could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$112,273終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Hochul enters the November 2026 general election as the clear frontrunner due to New York’s strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent, and the absence of a competitive Republican primary after higher-profile challengers withdrew. Recent Siena polling shows her holding double-digit leads over Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, supported by her fundraising edge, endorsements from party figures including progressives, and emphasis on affordability measures such as child care expansions and insurance cost controls. Blakeman has focused attacks on state spending and public safety while navigating ties to national Republican priorities. With probabilities above 90 percent, the market consensus reflects structural advantages and polling trends, though late developments including major scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout changes could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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