Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in recent polling averages, strong job approval ratings near 56 percent with crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $18 million compared to Republican challenger Stacy Garrity’s roughly $2 million. Garrity’s limited name recognition has constrained her ability to close the gap ahead of the November 3 election. Pennsylvania’s historical pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins reinforces trader consensus reflected in the market’s implied probabilities. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, significant national political realignments, or unexpected turnout surges, though structural advantages like incumbency and primary consolidation make such outcomes less probable at present.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,106 Vol.
$49,106 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$49,106 Vol.
$49,106 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$7,465 Vol.
96%
共和党
$41,640 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in recent polling averages, strong job approval ratings near 56 percent with crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $18 million compared to Republican challenger Stacy Garrity’s roughly $2 million. Garrity’s limited name recognition has constrained her ability to close the gap ahead of the November 3 election. Pennsylvania’s historical pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins reinforces trader consensus reflected in the market’s implied probabilities. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, significant national political realignments, or unexpected turnout surges, though structural advantages like incumbency and primary consolidation make such outcomes less probable at present.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$49,106終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in recent polling averages, strong job approval ratings near 56 percent with crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $18 million compared to Republican challenger Stacy Garrity’s roughly $2 million. Garrity’s limited name recognition has constrained her ability to close the gap ahead of the November 3 election. Pennsylvania’s historical pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins reinforces trader consensus reflected in the market’s implied probabilities. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, significant national political realignments, or unexpected turnout surges, though structural advantages like incumbency and primary consolidation make such outcomes less probable at present.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$49,106終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in recent polling averages, strong job approval ratings near 56 percent with crossover appeal, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $18 million compared to Republican challenger Stacy Garrity’s roughly $2 million. Garrity’s limited name recognition has constrained her ability to close the gap ahead of the November 3 election. Pennsylvania’s historical pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins reinforces trader consensus reflected in the market’s implied probabilities. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, significant national political realignments, or unexpected turnout surges, though structural advantages like incumbency and primary consolidation make such outcomes less probable at present.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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