Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from President Trump and Governor DeSantis, positioning him to extend the party's uninterrupted hold on the governorship since 1999. Florida's partisan registration and voting patterns in recent statewide contests underpin the 79.5% implied probability, reinforced by Donalds' substantial fundraising edge and focus on affordability and insurance costs. Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican who won his party's primary, draws independent support and has proposed a state catastrophic insurance fund, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have won every gubernatorial election in the current cycle's historical window. Recent polling showing a near tie has not shifted trader consensus, which continues to weigh the state's Republican lean and nominee resources more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$83,205 Vol.
$83,205 Vol.
2026/11/02
バイロン・ドナルズ（共和党）
80%
デビッド・ジョリー（民主党）
21%
$83,205 Vol.
$83,205 Vol.
2026/11/02
バイロン・ドナルズ（共和党）
$46,141 Vol.
80%
デビッド・ジョリー（民主党）
$37,065 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from President Trump and Governor DeSantis, positioning him to extend the party's uninterrupted hold on the governorship since 1999. Florida's partisan registration and voting patterns in recent statewide contests underpin the 79.5% implied probability, reinforced by Donalds' substantial fundraising edge and focus on affordability and insurance costs. Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican who won his party's primary, draws independent support and has proposed a state catastrophic insurance fund, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have won every gubernatorial election in the current cycle's historical window. Recent polling showing a near tie has not shifted trader consensus, which continues to weigh the state's Republican lean and nominee resources more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$83,205終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from President Trump and Governor DeSantis, positioning him to extend the party's uninterrupted hold on the governorship since 1999. Florida's partisan registration and voting patterns in recent statewide contests underpin the 79.5% implied probability, reinforced by Donalds' substantial fundraising edge and focus on affordability and insurance costs. Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican who won his party's primary, draws independent support and has proposed a state catastrophic insurance fund, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have won every gubernatorial election in the current cycle's historical window. Recent polling showing a near tie has not shifted trader consensus, which continues to weigh the state's Republican lean and nominee resources more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$83,205終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from President Trump and Governor DeSantis, positioning him to extend the party's uninterrupted hold on the governorship since 1999. Florida's partisan registration and voting patterns in recent statewide contests underpin the 79.5% implied probability, reinforced by Donalds' substantial fundraising edge and focus on affordability and insurance costs. Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican who won his party's primary, draws independent support and has proposed a state catastrophic insurance fund, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have won every gubernatorial election in the current cycle's historical window. Recent polling showing a near tie has not shifted trader consensus, which continues to weigh the state's Republican lean and nominee resources more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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