Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, reflecting the state's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including a 13-point Trump margin in the 2024 presidential race. With term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis ineligible, the Republican primary features a strong field led by U.S. Representative Byron Donalds, who holds a wide lead in polling and benefits from an early Trump endorsement alongside significant fundraising. Democratic contenders, including former U.S. Representative David Jolly, trail in head-to-head general-election surveys by margins of 5–9 points. Recent developments include the close of qualifying on June 12, with limited shifts in positioning since, reinforcing trader consensus around continued Republican control of the office.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,341 Vol.
$22,341 Vol.

共和党
77%

民主党
23%
$22,341 Vol.
$22,341 Vol.

共和党
77%

民主党
23%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, reflecting the state's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including a 13-point Trump margin in the 2024 presidential race. With term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis ineligible, the Republican primary features a strong field led by U.S. Representative Byron Donalds, who holds a wide lead in polling and benefits from an early Trump endorsement alongside significant fundraising. Democratic contenders, including former U.S. Representative David Jolly, trail in head-to-head general-election surveys by margins of 5–9 points. Recent developments include the close of qualifying on June 12, with limited shifts in positioning since, reinforcing trader consensus around continued Republican control of the office.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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