Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis, with primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3. Republican candidates, led in early polling by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, maintain consistent advantages in hypothetical general-election matchups against Democratic frontrunners such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns, including large GOP margins in the prior two gubernatorial cycles and the 2024 presidential contest. Trader consensus at 80% for a Republican winner aligns with these structural factors and polling trends, while the 20.5% Democratic share accounts for turnout variables and any late shifts in voter motivation ahead of the filing deadline in June.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,830 Vol.
$19,830 Vol.

共和党
80%

民主党
21%
$19,830 Vol.
$19,830 Vol.

共和党
80%

民主党
21%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis, with primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3. Republican candidates, led in early polling by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, maintain consistent advantages in hypothetical general-election matchups against Democratic frontrunners such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns, including large GOP margins in the prior two gubernatorial cycles and the 2024 presidential contest. Trader consensus at 80% for a Republican winner aligns with these structural factors and polling trends, while the 20.5% Democratic share accounts for turnout variables and any late shifts in voter motivation ahead of the filing deadline in June.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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