Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest remains rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball due to the state's consistent Republican performance in recent statewide races, including double-digit margins for Donald Trump in 2024 and Republican supermajorities in the legislature. The open seat created by term limits on incumbent Ron DeSantis has not altered this structural advantage. Republican primary frontrunner Byron Donalds, backed by Trump, leads general-election trial heats against leading Democrats such as David Jolly by 5–9 points in May 2026 polling, while Democratic candidates show limited consolidation and weaker support among independents. With primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3, these partisan fundamentals continue to anchor trader consensus on a Republican outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,442 Vol.
$22,442 Vol.

共和党
78%

民主党
22%
$22,442 Vol.
$22,442 Vol.

共和党
78%

民主党
22%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest remains rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball due to the state's consistent Republican performance in recent statewide races, including double-digit margins for Donald Trump in 2024 and Republican supermajorities in the legislature. The open seat created by term limits on incumbent Ron DeSantis has not altered this structural advantage. Republican primary frontrunner Byron Donalds, backed by Trump, leads general-election trial heats against leading Democrats such as David Jolly by 5–9 points in May 2026 polling, while Democratic candidates show limited consolidation and weaker support among independents. With primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3, these partisan fundamentals continue to anchor trader consensus on a Republican outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問