Florida’s Republican dominance since 1999, combined with Byron Donalds’ decisive August primary victory and endorsements from both President Trump and Governor DeSantis, has anchored trader expectations for his general-election win. Donalds enters the November contest with a substantial fundraising edge and unified party support in a state that has trended reliably Republican in recent cycles. Recent mid-September polls showing a statistical tie have narrowed the gap in some surveys, yet the market continues to price in structural advantages for the GOP nominee over Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican now running with Gwen Graham. Key factors include turnout patterns among independents and the party’s historical performance in statewide races. The November 3 election remains the resolution trigger, with no major intervening events altering the consensus positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$83,205 Vol.
$83,205 Vol.

バイロン・ドナルズ(共和党)
80%

デビッド・ジョリー(民主党)
21%
$83,205 Vol.
$83,205 Vol.

バイロン・ドナルズ(共和党)
80%

デビッド・ジョリー(民主党)
21%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s Republican dominance since 1999, combined with Byron Donalds’ decisive August primary victory and endorsements from both President Trump and Governor DeSantis, has anchored trader expectations for his general-election win. Donalds enters the November contest with a substantial fundraising edge and unified party support in a state that has trended reliably Republican in recent cycles. Recent mid-September polls showing a statistical tie have narrowed the gap in some surveys, yet the market continues to price in structural advantages for the GOP nominee over Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican now running with Gwen Graham. Key factors include turnout patterns among independents and the party’s historical performance in statewide races. The November 3 election remains the resolution trigger, with no major intervening events altering the consensus positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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