Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term against Republican nominee Dan Cox in their November 3 rematch. Maryland's consistent Democratic lean, large voter registration edge for the party, and Moore's advantages in fundraising and statewide recognition underpin trader consensus around his high implied probability. Moore secured renomination with nearly 88 percent in the June primary, while Cox prevailed in a crowded GOP field after his 2022 loss by more than 30 points. Recent polling shows Moore ahead by wide margins, reflecting the structural barriers for Republicans in the state. A major scandal, health event, or sharp economic reversal could still shift dynamics before Election Day, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日メリーランド州知事選挙の勝者
メリーランド州知事選挙の勝者
$22,227 Vol.
$22,227 Vol.
2026/11/02
ウェス・ムーア（民主党）
96%
ダン・コックス（共和党）
3%
$22,227 Vol.
$22,227 Vol.
2026/11/02
ウェス・ムーア（民主党）
$13,129 Vol.
96%
ダン・コックス（共和党）
$9,098 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term against Republican nominee Dan Cox in their November 3 rematch. Maryland's consistent Democratic lean, large voter registration edge for the party, and Moore's advantages in fundraising and statewide recognition underpin trader consensus around his high implied probability. Moore secured renomination with nearly 88 percent in the June primary, while Cox prevailed in a crowded GOP field after his 2022 loss by more than 30 points. Recent polling shows Moore ahead by wide margins, reflecting the structural barriers for Republicans in the state. A major scandal, health event, or sharp economic reversal could still shift dynamics before Election Day, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$22,227終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term against Republican nominee Dan Cox in their November 3 rematch. Maryland's consistent Democratic lean, large voter registration edge for the party, and Moore's advantages in fundraising and statewide recognition underpin trader consensus around his high implied probability. Moore secured renomination with nearly 88 percent in the June primary, while Cox prevailed in a crowded GOP field after his 2022 loss by more than 30 points. Recent polling shows Moore ahead by wide margins, reflecting the structural barriers for Republicans in the state. A major scandal, health event, or sharp economic reversal could still shift dynamics before Election Day, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$22,227終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term against Republican nominee Dan Cox in their November 3 rematch. Maryland's consistent Democratic lean, large voter registration edge for the party, and Moore's advantages in fundraising and statewide recognition underpin trader consensus around his high implied probability. Moore secured renomination with nearly 88 percent in the June primary, while Cox prevailed in a crowded GOP field after his 2022 loss by more than 30 points. Recent polling shows Moore ahead by wide margins, reflecting the structural barriers for Republicans in the state. A major scandal, health event, or sharp economic reversal could still shift dynamics before Election Day, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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