**Democrat Jocelyn Benson leads the Michigan governor race at 83% implied probability following the withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan in May 2026.** The open seat, created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, favors the Democratic nominee in a state with recent Democratic success in statewide contests. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, dominates early Democratic primary polling with 60%+ support ahead of the August 4 primary. On the Republican side, U.S. Representative John James and other contenders including Mike Cox, Perry Johnson, and Aric Nesbitt remain in a competitive primary without a clear frontrunner. Duggan’s exit consolidated voter support and shifted race ratings toward Lean Democrat or Toss-up from forecasters, explaining the wide gap in current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from primary results, polling trends, or turnout patterns in key regions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Democrat 84%
Republican 15%
Independent 2.8%
$187,995 Vol.
$187,995 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democrat
84%
Republican
15%
Independent
3%
Democrat 84%
Republican 15%
Independent 2.8%
$187,995 Vol.
$187,995 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democrat
$43,299 Vol.
84%
Republican
$144,373 Vol.
15%
Independent
$323 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democrat Jocelyn Benson leads the Michigan governor race at 83% implied probability following the withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan in May 2026.** The open seat, created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, favors the Democratic nominee in a state with recent Democratic success in statewide contests. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, dominates early Democratic primary polling with 60%+ support ahead of the August 4 primary.
On the Republican side, U.S. Representative John James and other contenders including Mike Cox, Perry Johnson, and Aric Nesbitt remain in a competitive primary without a clear frontrunner. Duggan’s exit consolidated voter support and shifted race ratings toward Lean Democrat or Toss-up from forecasters, explaining the wide gap in current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from primary results, polling trends, or turnout patterns in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$187,995終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democrat Jocelyn Benson leads the Michigan governor race at 83% implied probability following the withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan in May 2026.** The open seat, created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, favors the Democratic nominee in a state with recent Democratic success in statewide contests. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, dominates early Democratic primary polling with 60%+ support ahead of the August 4 primary.
On the Republican side, U.S. Representative John James and other contenders including Mike Cox, Perry Johnson, and Aric Nesbitt remain in a competitive primary without a clear frontrunner. Duggan’s exit consolidated voter support and shifted race ratings toward Lean Democrat or Toss-up from forecasters, explaining the wide gap in current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from primary results, polling trends, or turnout patterns in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$187,995終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Democrat Jocelyn Benson leads the Michigan governor race at 83% implied probability following the withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan in May 2026.** The open seat, created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, favors the Democratic nominee in a state with recent Democratic success in statewide contests. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, dominates early Democratic primary polling with 60%+ support ahead of the August 4 primary. On the Republican side, U.S. Representative John James and other contenders including Mike Cox, Perry Johnson, and Aric Nesbitt remain in a competitive primary without a clear frontrunner. Duggan’s exit consolidated voter support and shifted race ratings toward Lean Democrat or Toss-up from forecasters, explaining the wide gap in current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from primary results, polling trends, or turnout patterns in key regions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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