Market icon

2028年民主党大統領候補

Market icon

2028年民主党大統領候補

ギャビン・ニューサム 24.6%

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス 8.3%

カマラ・ハリス 5.3%

ジョン・オソフ 4.6%

Polymarket

$790,884,202 Vol.

ギャビン・ニューサム 24.6%

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス 8.3%

カマラ・ハリス 5.3%

ジョン・オソフ 4.6%

Polymarket

$790,884,202 Vol.

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ギャビン・ニューサム

$11,339,597 Vol.

25%

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アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス

$5,411,653 Vol.

8%

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カマラ・ハリス

$7,521,042 Vol.

5%

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ジョン・オソフ

$5,039,592 Vol.

5%

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ジョシュ・シャピロ

$5,043,948 Vol.

4%

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ピート・ブティジェッジ

$7,438,844 Vol.

4%

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マーク・ケリー

$9,585,025 Vol.

3%

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ジェームズ・タラリコ

$2,365,995 Vol.

2%

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アンディ・ベシア

$5,057,180 Vol.

2%

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ジョン・スチュワート

$8,385,454 Vol.

2%

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J.B.プリツカー

$7,923,218 Vol.

2%

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ルーベン・ガレゴ

$3,028,749 Vol.

2%

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グレッチェン・ウィットマー

$6,245,563 Vol.

2%

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ウェス・ムーア

$10,038,390 Vol.

2%

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ラーム・エマニュエル

$9,504,418 Vol.

2%

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ドウェイン・“ザ・ロック”・ジョンソン

$7,659,034 Vol.

1%

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ロ・カンナ

$3,544,309 Vol.

1%

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コリー・ブッカー

$17,683,205 Vol.

1%

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ミシェル・オバマ

$18,093,692 Vol.

1%

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ゾラン・マムダニ

$30,822,812 Vol.

1%

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マーク・キューバン

$13,890,956 Vol.

1%

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フィル・マーフィー

$28,471,241 Vol.

1%

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ジーナ・ライモンド

$23,897,402 Vol.

1%

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スティーブン・A・スミス

$11,979,202 Vol.

1%

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リズ・チェイニー

$28,386,059 Vol.

1%

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アンドリュー・ヤン

$33,590,974 Vol.

1%

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ジョン・フェッターマン

$14,685,040 Vol.

1%

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レブロン・ジェームズ

$29,987,720 Vol.

1%

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ハンター・バイデン

$26,595,961 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$31,374,634 Vol.

1%

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クリス・マーフィー

$8,946,690 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ラファエル・ワーノック

$19,336,391 Vol.

1%

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バラク・オバマ

$20,746,365 Vol.

1%

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ジョージ・クルーニー

$33,623,412 Vol.

1%

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ベト・オルーク

$25,301,890 Vol.

1%

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キム・カーダシアン

$24,947,764 Vol.

1%

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チェルシー・クリントン

$41,353,085 Vol.

1%

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ロイ・クーパー

$22,752,524 Vol.

1%

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ヒラリー・クリントン

$32,289,166 Vol.

1%

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オプラ・ウィンフリー

$38,537,556 Vol.

1%

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ティム・ウォルズ

$32,478,842 Vol.

1%

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バーニー・サンダース

$32,400,943 Vol.

1%

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ジャレッド・ポリス

$16,339,398 Vol.

1%

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ジャスミン・クロケット

$17,239,268 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$790,884,202
終了日
Nov 7, 2028
マーケット開始日
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主党大統領候補" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 25%, followed by "アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年民主党大統領候補" has generated $790.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年民主党大統領候補," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主党大統領候補" is "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主党大統領候補" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.