Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Dutch meteorological service points to a daily maximum of 23°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on June 16, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology in the region features average highs near 20–23°C under moderate westerly flow, with today’s conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no significant frontal systems to drive deviations. Official resolution relies on the precise hourly observation at Schiphol; minor model spread or localized urban effects could produce a 22°C or 24°C reading, though current data and real-time trends strongly favor the 23°C threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 16?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$72,742 Vol.
$72,742 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$72,742 Vol.
$72,742 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Dutch meteorological service points to a daily maximum of 23°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on June 16, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology in the region features average highs near 20–23°C under moderate westerly flow, with today’s conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no significant frontal systems to drive deviations. Official resolution relies on the precise hourly observation at Schiphol; minor model spread or localized urban effects could produce a 22°C or 24°C reading, though current data and real-time trends strongly favor the 23°C threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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