Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月21日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
7月21日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
82～83°F 100.0%
71°F以下 <1%
72～73°F <1%
華氏74〜75度 <1%
$228,871 Vol.
$228,871 Vol.
2026/07/21
71°F以下
いいえ
72～73°F
いいえ
華氏74〜75度
いいえ
76〜77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80～81°F
いいえ
82～83°F
はい
84〜85°F
いいえ
86～87°F
いいえ
88〜89°F
いいえ
90°F以上
いいえ
82～83°F 100.0%
71°F以下 <1%
72～73°F <1%
華氏74〜75度 <1%
$228,871 Vol.
$228,871 Vol.
2026/07/21
71°F以下
$10,900 Vol.
いいえ
72～73°F
$15,248 Vol.
いいえ
華氏74〜75度
$23,724 Vol.
いいえ
76〜77°F
$20,138 Vol.
いいえ
78〜79°F
$23,112 Vol.
いいえ
80～81°F
$35,195 Vol.
いいえ
82～83°F
$26,958 Vol.
はい
84〜85°F
$17,268 Vol.
いいえ
86～87°F
$31,283 Vol.
いいえ
88〜89°F
$18,349 Vol.
いいえ
90°F以上
$6,695 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
音量
$228,871終了日
2026/07/21マーケット開始日
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$228,871終了日
2026/07/21マーケット開始日
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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